Prediction Analysis: Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Heidenheim
Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Heidenheim prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2025-09-20
13:30
Hamburger SV
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
1. FC Heidenheim
Away
Prediction Summary
1
51%
X
23%
2
25%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Hamburger SV (Home)
Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate71%
1. FC Heidenheim (Away)
Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match2.06
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate65%
Team Form last 5 matches
Hamburger SV
DWWLL
1. FC Heidenheim
LWDWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
76%
+0.5
65%
41%
+1.5
29%
24%
+2.5
12%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
71%
BTTS
65%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.
Hamburger SV averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while 1. FC Heidenheim averages 1.06 goals scored away.
Model Strength
57%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
51%
Draw
23%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
Hamburger SV(A)
2 - 0
1. FC Heidenheim
Home
Oct 2025
Hamburger SV(A)
1 - 0
1. FC Heidenheim
Home
Sep 2025
Hamburger SV
2 - 1
1. FC Heidenheim
Home
Feb 2023
Hamburger SV(A)
3 - 3
1. FC Heidenheim
Draw
Aug 2022
Hamburger SV
1 - 0
1. FC Heidenheim
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Hamburger SV won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Hamburger SV — unbeaten run (home)1
Hamburger SV — scoring streak (home)4
1. FC Heidenheim — winless run (away)0
1. FC Heidenheim — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Hamburger SV Win (1)51%
Draw (X)23%
1. FC Heidenheim Win (2)25%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
76%
+0.5
65%
41%
+1.5
29%
24%
+2.5
12%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
24%
-0.5
35%
59%
-1.5
71%
76%
-2.5
88%
94%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Heidenheim — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Hamburger SV — scored (home)1.47
Hamburger SV — conceded (home)1.29
1. FC Heidenheim — scored (away)1.06
1. FC Heidenheim — conceded (away)2.06
Model expected combined goals2.94
Both Teams To Score
Yes57%
No43%
Rate per Team
Hamburger SV — BTTS matches (home)71%
1. FC Heidenheim — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)68%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
Hamburger SV (home)
Corners for3.8
Corners against5.8
1. FC Heidenheim (away)
Corners for4.4
Corners against5.6
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Hamburger SV
10
13
13
6
11
1. FC Heidenheim
9
12
18
10
9
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Hamburger SV (home)
For2.3
1. FC Heidenheim (away)
For1.7
Shots per Game
Hamburger SV — total shots (home)13.3
1. FC Heidenheim — total shots (away)11.3
Shots on Target
Hamburger SV — on target (home)4.7
1. FC Heidenheim — on target (away)3.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Hamburger SV
Inside the box8.06
Outside the box4.24
1. FC Heidenheim
Inside the box7.88
Outside the box3.53
Player Shots Hamburger SV
R. Königsdörffer
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target12%
Fábio Vieira
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Dompé
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target20%
R. Philippe
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Grønbæk
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Player Shots 1. FC Heidenheim
B. Zivzivadze
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
E. Dinkçi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Ibrahimović
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target16%
S. Schimmer
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target4%
M. Pieringer
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target7%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Hamburger SV xG (home)1.22
1. FC Heidenheim xG (away)1.41
Average Possession
45.35%
Possession
42.26%
Team Comparison Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Heidenheim
80%
Pass accuracy
75.88%
390.12
Passes per match
362.38
0.02
Goals prevented
-0.01
11.82
Fouls committed
9.82
3.35
Goalkeeper saves
3.38
1.79
Offsides
2.06
15
Tackles per match
15.41
League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Heidenheim prediction analysis
Review Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Heidenheim with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights