What markets are included in the Hamburger SV vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Hamburger SV vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Hamburger SV vs VfL Wolfsburg

Hamburger SV vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-10-25 13:30

Hamburger SV

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

58%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

VfL Wolfsburg

Away

Prediction Summary

53%

23%

24%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Hamburger SV (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.29

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate71%

VfL Wolfsburg (Away)

Goals scored / match1.39

Goals conceded / match2.17

Over 2.5 rate22%

BTTS rate78%

Team Form last 5 matches

Hamburger SV

DWWLL

VfL Wolfsburg

LDWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 83%

41% +1.5 33%

24% +2.5 22%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

71% BTTS 78%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Hamburger SV averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while VfL Wolfsburg averages 1.39 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

53%

Draw

23%

Away Win

24%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

58%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2026 Hamburger SV(A) 2 - 1 VfL Wolfsburg Home

Oct 2025 Hamburger SV 0 - 1 VfL Wolfsburg Away

In the last 2 meetings, Hamburger SV won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Hamburger SV — unbeaten run (home)1

Hamburger SV — scoring streak (home)4

VfL Wolfsburg — winless run (away)1

VfL Wolfsburg — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Hamburger SV Win (1)53%

Draw (X)23%

VfL Wolfsburg Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 83%

41% +1.5 33%

24% +2.5 22%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 17%

59% -1.5 67%

76% -2.5 78%

94% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Hamburger SV vs VfL Wolfsburg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Hamburger SV — scored (home)1.47

Hamburger SV — conceded (home)1.29

VfL Wolfsburg — scored (away)1.39

VfL Wolfsburg — conceded (away)2.17

Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%

No42%

Rate per Team

Hamburger SV — BTTS matches (home)71%

VfL Wolfsburg — BTTS matches (away)78%

Combined (simple average)74.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.597%

Under 5.53%

Over 6.594%

Under 6.56%

Over 7.583%

Under 7.517%

Over 8.569%

Under 8.531%

Over 9.557%

Under 9.543%

Over 10.548%

Under 10.552%

Expected total corners (blended average)11.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Hamburger SV (home)

Corners for3.8

Corners against5.8

VfL Wolfsburg (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against9.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Hamburger SV

10 13 13 6 11

VfL Wolfsburg

8 9 17 5 21

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.586%

Under 1.514%

Over 2.572%

Under 2.528%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Hamburger SV (home)

For2.3

VfL Wolfsburg (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Hamburger SV — total shots (home)13.3

VfL Wolfsburg — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Hamburger SV — on target (home)4.7

VfL Wolfsburg — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Hamburger SV

Inside the box8.06

Outside the box4.24

VfL Wolfsburg

Inside the box7.47

Outside the box4.47

Player Shots Hamburger SV

R. Königsdörffer

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target12%

Fábio Vieira

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target10%

J. Dompé

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target20%

R. Philippe

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target14%

A. Grønbæk

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots VfL Wolfsburg

D. Pejčinović

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target22%

K. Shiogai

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target23%

M. Amoura

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target6%

J. Wind

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

C. Eriksen

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Hamburger SV xG (home)1.22

VfL Wolfsburg xG (away)1.41

Average Possession

45.35% Possession 45.44%

Team Comparison Hamburger SV vs VfL Wolfsburg

80% Pass accuracy 78%

390.12 Passes per match 407.64

0.02 Goals prevented 0.07

11.82 Fouls committed 11.47

3.35 Goalkeeper saves 3.61

1.79 Offsides 1.26

15 Tackles per match 16.19

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Hamburger SV vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction analysis

Review Hamburger SV vs VfL Wolfsburg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights