Prediction Analysis: Hatayspor vs Erzurumspor FK
Hatayspor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
1. Lig
2025-10-31
17:00
Hatayspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-2
Erzurumspor FK
Away
Prediction Summary
1
14%
X
19%
2
67%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Hatayspor (Home)
Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match2.21
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%
Erzurumspor FK (Away)
Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%
Team Form last 5 matches
Hatayspor
WLDLW
Erzurumspor FK
DDDWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
58%
+0.5
95%
21%
+1.5
53%
11%
+2.5
16%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
53%
BTTS
47%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.
Hatayspor averages 0.95 goals scored at home, while Erzurumspor FK averages 1.63 goals scored away.
Model Strength
67%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
14%
Draw
19%
Away Win
67%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
53%
Head-to-Head last 5
Mar 2026
Hatayspor(A)
0 - 3
Erzurumspor FK
Away
Oct 2025
Hatayspor
0 - 3
Erzurumspor FK
Away
Feb 2021
Hatayspor(A)
3 - 1
Erzurumspor FK
Home
Dec 2020
Hatayspor
3 - 0
Erzurumspor FK
Home
Mar 2020
Hatayspor
0 - 0
Erzurumspor FK
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Hatayspor won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Hatayspor — unbeaten run (home)3
Hatayspor — scoring streak (home)3
Erzurumspor FK — winless run (away)2
Erzurumspor FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Hatayspor Win (1)14%
Draw (X)19%
Erzurumspor FK Win (2)67%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
58%
+0.5
95%
21%
+1.5
53%
11%
+2.5
16%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
42%
-0.5
5%
79%
-1.5
47%
89%
-2.5
84%
95%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Hatayspor vs Erzurumspor FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Hatayspor — scored (home)0.95
Hatayspor — conceded (home)2.21
Erzurumspor FK — scored (away)1.63
Erzurumspor FK — conceded (away)0.79
Model expected combined goals3.1
Both Teams To Score
Yes53%
No47%
Rate per Team
Hatayspor — BTTS matches (home)53%
Erzurumspor FK — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.584%
Under 4.516%
Over 5.579%
Under 5.521%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.558%
Under 7.542%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Hatayspor (home)
Corners for2.4
Corners against5.5
Erzurumspor FK (away)
Corners for3.6
Corners against4.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Hatayspor
4
7
4
9
7
Erzurumspor FK
4
8
7
9
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Hatayspor (home)
For2.4
Erzurumspor FK (away)
For1.9
Shots per Game
Hatayspor — total shots (home)8.1
Erzurumspor FK — total shots (away)10.3
Shots on Target
Hatayspor — on target (home)2.3
Erzurumspor FK — on target (away)3.7
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Hatayspor
Inside the box4.34
Outside the box3.21
Erzurumspor FK
Inside the box8.5
Outside the box3.74
Player Shots Hatayspor
J. Okoronkwo
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target43%
Ü. Durmuşhan
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target9%
F. Bamgboye
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Chaadaev
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
Deniz Aksoy
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target12%
+1.5 On Target4%
Player Shots Erzurumspor FK
E. Tozlu
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target35%
Burak Böyüksünnetci
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
A. Kabak
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%
M. Yumlu
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target6%
M. Fettahoğlu
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Hatayspor xG (home)0.88
Erzurumspor FK xG (away)1.76
Average Possession
45.97%
Possession
55.5%
Team Comparison Hatayspor vs Erzurumspor FK
77.74%
Pass accuracy
85.16%
352.79
Passes per match
469.89
0
Goals prevented
0
12.61
Fouls committed
10.71
4.05
Goalkeeper saves
2
2.03
Offsides
2.17
14.41
Tackles per match
13.39
League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Hatayspor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction analysis
Review Hatayspor vs Erzurumspor FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights