Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Hatayspor vs İstanbulspor

Hatayspor vs İstanbulspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-08-30 18:30
Hatayspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
İstanbulspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
26%
X
23%
2
50%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Hatayspor (Home)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match2.21
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%

İstanbulspor (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Hatayspor
WLDLW
İstanbulspor
WWWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 58%
21% +1.5 37%
11% +2.5 26%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
53% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

Hatayspor averages 0.95 goals scored at home, while İstanbulspor averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
26%
Draw
23%
Away Win
50%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Hatayspor(A) 0 - 1 İstanbulspor Away
Aug 2025 Hatayspor 1 - 1 İstanbulspor Draw
Apr 2024 Hatayspor 0 - 3 İstanbulspor Away
Nov 2023 Hatayspor(A) 1 - 2 İstanbulspor Away
May 2023 Hatayspor 0 - 3 İstanbulspor Away

In the last 5 meetings, Hatayspor won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Hatayspor — unbeaten run (home)3
Hatayspor — scoring streak (home)3
İstanbulspor — winless run (away)0
İstanbulspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Hatayspor Win (1)26%
Draw (X)23%
İstanbulspor Win (2)50%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 58%
21% +1.5 37%
11% +2.5 26%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 42%
79% -1.5 63%
89% -2.5 74%
95% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Hatayspor vs İstanbulspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Hatayspor — scored (home)0.95
Hatayspor — conceded (home)2.21
İstanbulspor — scored (away)1.32
İstanbulspor — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals2.97

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Hatayspor — BTTS matches (home)53%
İstanbulspor — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.582%
Under 4.518%
Over 5.574%
Under 5.526%
Over 6.566%
Under 6.534%
Over 7.563%
Under 7.537%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.526%
Under 10.574%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Hatayspor (home)

Corners for2.4
Corners against5.5

İstanbulspor (away)

Corners for3.3
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Hatayspor
4 7 4 9 7
İstanbulspor
4 19 6 11 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Hatayspor (home)

For2.4

İstanbulspor (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Hatayspor — total shots (home)8.1
İstanbulspor — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Hatayspor — on target (home)2.3
İstanbulspor — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Hatayspor

Inside the box4.34
Outside the box3.21

İstanbulspor

Inside the box7.55
Outside the box4.13

Player Shots Hatayspor

J. Okoronkwo
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target43%
Ü. Durmuşhan
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target9%
F. Bamgboye
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Chaadaev
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
Deniz Aksoy
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target12%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots İstanbulspor

Alieu Cham
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target43%
Fahri Kerem Ay
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Sol
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
Ö. Duymaz
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
E. Gültekin
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Hatayspor xG (home)0.88
İstanbulspor xG (away)1.46

Average Possession

45.97% Possession 47.97%

Team Comparison Hatayspor vs İstanbulspor

77.74% Pass accuracy 78.5%
352.79 Passes per match 382.74
0 Goals prevented 0
12.61 Fouls committed 11.45
4.05 Goalkeeper saves 2.66
2.03 Offsides 1.86
14.41 Tackles per match 13.62

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Hatayspor vs İstanbulspor prediction analysis

Review Hatayspor vs İstanbulspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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