Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Hatayspor vs Sarıyer

Hatayspor vs Sarıyer prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-12-08 11:30
Hatayspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Sarıyer
Away

Prediction Summary

1
28%
X
24%
2
49%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Hatayspor (Home)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match2.21
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%

Sarıyer (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Hatayspor
WLDLW
Sarıyer
WWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 47%
21% +1.5 21%
11% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Hatayspor averages 0.95 goals scored at home, while Sarıyer averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
28%
Draw
24%
Away Win
49%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 3

Apr 2026 Hatayspor(A) 0 - 4 Sarıyer Away
Dec 2025 Hatayspor 0 - 3 Sarıyer Away
Oct 2023 Hatayspor 2 - 0 Sarıyer Home

In the last 3 meetings, Hatayspor won 1, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Hatayspor — unbeaten run (home)3
Hatayspor — scoring streak (home)3
Sarıyer — winless run (away)0
Sarıyer — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Hatayspor Win (1)28%
Draw (X)24%
Sarıyer Win (2)49%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 47%
21% +1.5 21%
11% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 53%
79% -1.5 79%
89% -2.5 84%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Hatayspor vs Sarıyer — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Hatayspor — scored (home)0.95
Hatayspor — conceded (home)2.21
Sarıyer — scored (away)0.84
Sarıyer — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals2.95

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Hatayspor — BTTS matches (home)53%
Sarıyer — BTTS matches (away)32%
Combined (simple average)42.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.587%
Under 4.513%
Over 5.577%
Under 5.523%
Over 6.561%
Under 6.539%
Over 7.556%
Under 7.544%
Over 8.547%
Under 8.553%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.526%
Under 10.574%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Hatayspor (home)

Corners for2.4
Corners against5.5

Sarıyer (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Hatayspor
4 7 4 9 7
Sarıyer
5 7 6 11 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Hatayspor (home)

For2.4

Sarıyer (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Hatayspor — total shots (home)8.1
Sarıyer — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Hatayspor — on target (home)2.3
Sarıyer — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Hatayspor

Inside the box4.34
Outside the box3.21

Sarıyer

Inside the box6.84
Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Hatayspor

J. Okoronkwo
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target43%
Ü. Durmuşhan
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target9%
F. Bamgboye
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Chaadaev
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
Deniz Aksoy
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target12%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Sarıyer

A. Urie
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
O. Sol
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
E. Kulašin
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Dembélé
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
E. Eze
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Hatayspor xG (home)0.88
Sarıyer xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

45.97% Possession 47.79%

Team Comparison Hatayspor vs Sarıyer

77.74% Pass accuracy 80.71%
352.79 Passes per match 384.29
0 Goals prevented 0
12.61 Fouls committed 11.08
4.05 Goalkeeper saves 2.53
2.03 Offsides 2.4
14.41 Tackles per match 12.89

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Hatayspor vs Sarıyer prediction analysis

Review Hatayspor vs Sarıyer with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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