Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Havelse vs Verl

Havelse vs Verl prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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3. Liga 2025-12-06 13:00
Havelse
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
72%
Confidence
High
Score
1-2
Verl
Away

Prediction Summary

1
21%
X
19%
2
60%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS Yes
68%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Havelse (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match2.05
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate68%

Verl (Away)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate74%

Team Form last 5 matches

Havelse
LWLWL
Verl
WLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 79%
53% +1.5 53%
26% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 16%
0% +4.5 5%
68% BTTS 74%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 72%. Model confidence is High.

Havelse averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Verl averages 1.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength
72%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
21%
Draw
19%
Away Win
60%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS Yes
68%

Head-to-Head last 2

May 2026 Havelse(A) 0 - 4 Verl Away
Dec 2025 Havelse 2 - 2 Verl Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Havelse won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Havelse — unbeaten run (home)3
Havelse — scoring streak (home)3
Verl — winless run (away)4
Verl — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Havelse Win (1)21%
Draw (X)19%
Verl Win (2)60%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 79%
53% +1.5 53%
26% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 16%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 21%
47% -1.5 47%
74% -2.5 84%
95% -3.5 84%
100% -4.5 95%

Havelse vs Verl — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Havelse — scored (home)1.63
Havelse — conceded (home)2.05
Verl — scored (away)1.68
Verl — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals3.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes68%
No32%

Rate per Team

Havelse — BTTS matches (home)68%
Verl — BTTS matches (away)74%
Combined (simple average)71%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.574%
Under 4.526%
Over 5.567%
Under 5.533%
Over 6.564%
Under 6.536%
Over 7.558%
Under 7.542%
Over 8.552%
Under 8.548%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Havelse (home)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.9

Verl (away)

Corners for6.2
Corners against3.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Havelse
10 0 0 0 0
Verl
4 10 0 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Havelse (home)

For1.7

Verl (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Havelse — total shots (home)11.0
Verl — total shots (away)12.9

Shots on Target

Havelse — on target (home)3.6
Verl — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Havelse

Inside the box7.65
Outside the box4.3

Verl

Inside the box9.11
Outside the box5.89

Player Shots Havelse

N. Boujellab
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%
M. Ilic
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target10%
C. Schepp
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
R. Müller
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Posselt
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Verl

A. Besio
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target41%
B. Taz
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target40%
J. Arweiler
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
O. Mhamdi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target4%
T. Gayret
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Havelse xG (home)1.39
Verl xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

44.83% Possession 65.93%

Team Comparison Havelse vs Verl

76.57% Pass accuracy 86.85%
361.96 Passes per match 594
0 Goals prevented 0
12.17 Fouls committed 9.63
5.04 Goalkeeper saves 2.67
1.48 Offsides 2.33
2.05 Tackles per match 2.4

League average xG this season is 1.6 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Havelse vs Verl prediction analysis

Review Havelse vs Verl with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 3. Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 3. Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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