What markets are included in the Heart Of Midlothian vs Aberdeen prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Heart Of Midlothian vs Aberdeen prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Heart Of Midlothian vs Aberdeen

Heart Of Midlothian vs Aberdeen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Premiership 2025-08-04 19:00

Heart Of Midlothian

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

44%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Aberdeen

Away

Prediction Summary

67%

22%

12%

Under 2.5

56%

BTTS No

62%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Heart Of Midlothian (Home)

Goals scored / match1.95

Goals conceded / match0.58

Over 2.5 rate32%

BTTS rate42%

Aberdeen (Away)

Goals scored / match0.63

Goals conceded / match1.68

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate26%

Team Form last 5 matches

Heart Of Midlothian

LWDWW

Aberdeen

LLWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 42%

58% +1.5 16%

32% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

42% BTTS 26%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Heart Of Midlothian averages 1.95 goals scored at home, while Aberdeen averages 0.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength

67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

67%

Draw

22%

Away Win

12%

Over 2.5

44%

BTTS Yes

38%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Heart Of Midlothian 1 - 0 Aberdeen Home

Nov 2025 Heart Of Midlothian(A) 0 - 1 Aberdeen Away

Aug 2025 Heart Of Midlothian 2 - 0 Aberdeen Home

Apr 2025 Heart Of Midlothian 1 - 2 Aberdeen Away

Jan 2025 Heart Of Midlothian(A) 0 - 0 Aberdeen Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Heart Of Midlothian won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Heart Of Midlothian — unbeaten run (home)19

Heart Of Midlothian — scoring streak (home)19

Aberdeen — winless run (away)12

Aberdeen — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Heart Of Midlothian Win (1)67%

Draw (X)22%

Aberdeen Win (2)12%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 42%

58% +1.5 16%

32% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 58%

42% -1.5 84%

68% -2.5 95%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Heart Of Midlothian vs Aberdeen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Heart Of Midlothian — scored (home)1.95

Heart Of Midlothian — conceded (home)0.58

Aberdeen — scored (away)0.63

Aberdeen — conceded (away)1.68

Model expected combined goals2.42

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%

No62%

Rate per Team

Heart Of Midlothian — BTTS matches (home)42%

Aberdeen — BTTS matches (away)26%

Combined (simple average)34%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.569%

Under 8.531%

Over 9.555%

Under 9.545%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Heart Of Midlothian (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.5

Aberdeen (away)

Corners for3.6

Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Heart Of Midlothian

11 8 8 10 15

Aberdeen

11 9 6 7 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.589%

Under 1.511%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Heart Of Midlothian (home)

For1.6

Aberdeen (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Heart Of Midlothian — total shots (home)14.7

Aberdeen — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Heart Of Midlothian — on target (home)5.4

Aberdeen — on target (away)2.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Heart Of Midlothian

Inside the box9.74

Outside the box4.58

Aberdeen

Inside the box7.42

Outside the box3.87

Player Shots Heart Of Midlothian

L. Shankland

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target69%

+1.5 On Target48%

Cláudio Braga

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target29%

A. Kyziridis

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target13%

P. Kabore

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target12%

Ageu

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Aberdeen

J. Karlsson

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target22%

A. Aouchiche

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target10%

K. Nisbet

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target17%

D. Polvara

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target6%

S. Armstrong

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Heart Of Midlothian xG (home)1.46

Aberdeen xG (away)1.06

Average Possession

53.39% Possession 48.05%

Team Comparison Heart Of Midlothian vs Aberdeen

75.55% Pass accuracy 76.18%

414.24 Passes per match 392.42

-0.46 Goals prevented -0.41

10.92 Fouls committed 14.29

2 Goalkeeper saves 3.18

1.31 Offsides 1.81

16.87 Tackles per match 15.63

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Heart Of Midlothian vs Aberdeen prediction analysis

Review Heart Of Midlothian vs Aberdeen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights