Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd

Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2026-08-08 14:00
Heart Of Midlothian
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Heart Of Midlothian
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Dundee Utd
Away

Prediction Summary

1
61%
X
21%
2
17%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Heart Of Midlothian (Home)

Goals scored / match1.95
Goals conceded / match0.58
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate42%

Dundee Utd (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Heart Of Midlothian
LWDWW
Dundee Utd
DDLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 68%
58% +1.5 47%
32% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
42% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

Heart Of Midlothian averages 1.95 goals scored at home, while Dundee Utd averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
61%
Draw
21%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Heart Of Midlothian(A) 3 - 0 Dundee Utd Home
Nov 2025 Heart Of Midlothian 1 - 1 Dundee Utd Draw
Aug 2025 Heart Of Midlothian(A) 3 - 2 Dundee Utd Home
Apr 2025 Heart Of Midlothian 0 - 1 Dundee Utd Away
Jan 2025 Heart Of Midlothian(A) 1 - 0 Dundee Utd Home

In the last 5 meetings, Heart Of Midlothian won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Heart Of Midlothian — unbeaten run (home)19
Heart Of Midlothian — scoring streak (home)19
Dundee Utd — winless run (away)6
Dundee Utd — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Heart Of Midlothian Win (1)61%
Draw (X)21%
Dundee Utd Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 68%
58% +1.5 47%
32% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 32%
42% -1.5 53%
68% -2.5 84%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Heart Of Midlothian — scored (home)1.95
Heart Of Midlothian — conceded (home)0.58
Dundee Utd — scored (away)1.32
Dundee Utd — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.92

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Heart Of Midlothian — BTTS matches (home)42%
Dundee Utd — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Heart Of Midlothian (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.5

Dundee Utd (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Heart Of Midlothian
11 8 8 10 15
Dundee Utd
6 12 6 15 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Heart Of Midlothian (home)

For1.6

Dundee Utd (away)

For2.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.571%
Under 19.529%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.544%
Under 25.556%
Expected total shots25.13

Heart Of Midlothian

Shots Over 9.579%
Shots Over 11.566%
Shots Over 13.552%
Expected shots14.38
On Target Over 3.571%
On Target Over 4.556%
On Target Over 5.541%
Expected on target5.22

Dundee Utd

Shots Over 9.557%
Shots Over 11.539%
Shots Over 13.525%
Expected shots10.75
On Target Over 3.542%
On Target Over 4.526%
On Target Over 5.515%
Expected on target3.36

Shots per Game

Heart Of Midlothian — total shots (home)14.7
Dundee Utd — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

Heart Of Midlothian — on target (home)5.4
Dundee Utd — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Heart Of Midlothian

Inside the box9.74
Outside the box4.58

Dundee Utd

Inside the box8.82
Outside the box4.42

Player Shots Heart Of Midlothian

L. Shankland
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target48%
Cláudio Braga
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Kyziridis
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
P. Kabore
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target12%
Ageu
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Dundee Utd

A. Ahmed Fatah
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
Z. Sapsford
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Watters
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
O. Stirton
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
I. Dolček
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Heart Of Midlothian xG (home)1.46
Dundee Utd xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

53.39% Possession 42.26%

Team Comparison Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd

75.55% Pass accuracy 68.03%
414.24 Passes per match 314.68
-0.46 Goals prevented -0.18
10.92 Fouls committed 12.89
2 Goalkeeper saves 3.32
1.31 Offsides 1.69
16.87 Tackles per match 15.82

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd prediction analysis

Review Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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