Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Heart Of Midlothian vs Hibernian

Heart Of Midlothian vs Hibernian prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-10-04 16:45
Heart Of Midlothian
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Hibernian
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
23%
2
24%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Heart Of Midlothian (Home)

Goals scored / match1.95
Goals conceded / match0.58
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate42%

Hibernian (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Heart Of Midlothian
LWDWW
Hibernian
LWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 63%
58% +1.5 53%
32% +2.5 21%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
42% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Heart Of Midlothian averages 1.95 goals scored at home, while Hibernian averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
23%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Heart Of Midlothian(A) 2 - 1 Hibernian Home
Feb 2026 Heart Of Midlothian 1 - 0 Hibernian Home
Dec 2025 Heart Of Midlothian(A) 2 - 3 Hibernian Away
Oct 2025 Heart Of Midlothian 1 - 0 Hibernian Home
Mar 2025 Heart Of Midlothian(A) 1 - 2 Hibernian Away

In the last 5 meetings, Heart Of Midlothian won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Heart Of Midlothian — unbeaten run (home)19
Heart Of Midlothian — scoring streak (home)19
Hibernian — winless run (away)0
Hibernian — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Heart Of Midlothian Win (1)53%
Draw (X)23%
Hibernian Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 63%
58% +1.5 53%
32% +2.5 21%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 37%
42% -1.5 47%
68% -2.5 79%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Heart Of Midlothian vs Hibernian — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Heart Of Midlothian — scored (home)1.95
Heart Of Midlothian — conceded (home)0.58
Hibernian — scored (away)1.37
Hibernian — conceded (away)1.32
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Heart Of Midlothian — BTTS matches (home)42%
Hibernian — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.561%
Under 9.539%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Heart Of Midlothian (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.5

Hibernian (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Heart Of Midlothian
11 8 8 10 15
Hibernian
11 13 11 12 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Heart Of Midlothian (home)

For1.6

Hibernian (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Heart Of Midlothian — total shots (home)14.7
Hibernian — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Heart Of Midlothian — on target (home)5.4
Hibernian — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Heart Of Midlothian

Inside the box9.74
Outside the box4.58

Hibernian

Inside the box8.61
Outside the box3.45

Player Shots Heart Of Midlothian

L. Shankland
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target48%
Cláudio Braga
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Kyziridis
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
P. Kabore
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target12%
Ageu
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Hibernian

K. Bowie
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Hoilett
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Klidje
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target11%
É. Youan
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Heart Of Midlothian xG (home)1.46
Hibernian xG (away)1.23

Average Possession

53.39% Possession 46.74%

Team Comparison Heart Of Midlothian vs Hibernian

75.55% Pass accuracy 77.37%
414.24 Passes per match 392.29
-0.46 Goals prevented -0.28
10.92 Fouls committed 11.05
2 Goalkeeper saves 2.84
1.31 Offsides 1.81
16.87 Tackles per match 13.03

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Heart Of Midlothian vs Hibernian prediction analysis

Review Heart Of Midlothian vs Hibernian with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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