Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz

Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2026-07-28 18:45
Heart Of Midlothian
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
73%
Confidence
High
Score
1-2
Sturm Graz
Away

Prediction Summary

1
25%
X
20%
2
55%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS Yes
70%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Heart Of Midlothian (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Sturm Graz (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Heart Of Midlothian
L
Sturm Graz
WWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 0%
0% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 73%. Model confidence is High.

Heart Of Midlothian averages 0 goals scored at home, while Sturm Graz averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
73%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
25%
Draw
20%
Away Win
55%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS Yes
70%

Head-to-Head last 1

Jul 2026 Heart Of Midlothian(A) 0 - 4 Sturm Graz Away

In the last 1 meetings, Heart Of Midlothian won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Sturm Graz — winless run (away)1
Sturm Graz — clean sheets (away, last 1)0 of 1

1X2 Probability model

Heart Of Midlothian Win (1)25%
Draw (X)20%
Sturm Graz Win (2)55%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 0%
0% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 100%
100% -1.5 100%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Heart Of Midlothian — scored (home)0
Heart Of Midlothian — conceded (home)0
Sturm Graz — scored (away)0
Sturm Graz — conceded (away)5
Model expected combined goals3.79

Both Teams To Score

Yes70%
No30%

Rate per Team

Heart Of Midlothian — BTTS matches (home)0%
Sturm Graz — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)0%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Heart Of Midlothian (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Sturm Graz (away)

Corners for1.0
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Heart Of Midlothian
13
Sturm Graz
6 11 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.550%
Under 2.550%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3

Yellow Cards per Team

Heart Of Midlothian (home)

For—

Sturm Graz (away)

For2.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.574%
Under 19.526%
Over 22.562%
Under 22.538%
Over 25.550%
Under 25.550%
Expected total shots26.54

Heart Of Midlothian

Shots Over 9.582%
Shots Over 11.571%
Shots Over 13.558%
Expected shots15.50
On Target Over 3.574%
On Target Over 4.561%
On Target Over 5.548%
Expected on target5.77

Sturm Graz

Shots Over 9.558%
Shots Over 11.542%
Shots Over 13.528%
Expected shots11.04
On Target Over 3.552%
On Target Over 4.537%
On Target Over 5.524%
Expected on target4.00

Shots per Game

Heart Of Midlothian — total shots (home)—
Sturm Graz — total shots (away)8.0

Shots on Target

Heart Of Midlothian — on target (home)—
Sturm Graz — on target (away)1.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Heart Of Midlothian

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Sturm Graz

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box5.5
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

Heart Of Midlothian xG (home)-
Sturm Graz xG (away)0

Average Possession

-% Possession 46.5%

Team Comparison Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz

0% Pass accuracy 81.5%
- Passes per match 426
- Goals prevented 0
- Fouls committed 12
- Goalkeeper saves 2.5
- Offsides 1.5
- Tackles per match 23.5

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz prediction analysis

Review Heart Of Midlothian vs Sturm Graz with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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