What markets are included in the Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen

Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-09-21 12:30

Heerenveen

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

66%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

NEC Nijmegen

Away

Prediction Summary

31%

22%

47%

Over 2.5

66%

BTTS Yes

66%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Heerenveen (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94

Goals conceded / match1.41

Over 2.5 rate35%

BTTS rate76%

NEC Nijmegen (Away)

Goals scored / match2.12

Goals conceded / match1.65

Over 2.5 rate35%

BTTS rate88%

Team Form last 5 matches

Heerenveen

LDLWW

NEC Nijmegen

WLDDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 94%

65% +1.5 65%

35% +2.5 35%

12% +3.5 18%

0% +4.5 0%

76% BTTS 88%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 66%. Model confidence is Medium.

Heerenveen averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while NEC Nijmegen averages 2.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength

66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

31%

Draw

22%

Away Win

47%

Over 2.5

66%

BTTS Yes

66%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Heerenveen(A) 2 - 2 NEC Nijmegen Draw

Sep 2025 Heerenveen 3 - 2 NEC Nijmegen Home

Apr 2025 Heerenveen 1 - 0 NEC Nijmegen Home

Oct 2024 Heerenveen(A) 0 - 3 NEC Nijmegen Away

Mar 2024 Heerenveen(A) 0 - 2 NEC Nijmegen Away

In the last 5 meetings, Heerenveen won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Heerenveen — unbeaten run (home)7

Heerenveen — scoring streak (home)0

NEC Nijmegen — winless run (away)2

NEC Nijmegen — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Heerenveen Win (1)31%

Draw (X)22%

NEC Nijmegen Win (2)47%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 94%

65% +1.5 65%

35% +2.5 35%

12% +3.5 18%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 6%

35% -1.5 35%

65% -2.5 65%

88% -3.5 82%

100% -4.5 100%

Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Heerenveen — scored (home)1.94

Heerenveen — conceded (home)1.41

NEC Nijmegen — scored (away)2.12

NEC Nijmegen — conceded (away)1.65

Model expected combined goals3.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes66%

No34%

Rate per Team

Heerenveen — BTTS matches (home)76%

NEC Nijmegen — BTTS matches (away)88%

Combined (simple average)82%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.591%

Under 6.59%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.562%

Under 9.538%

Over 10.550%

Under 10.550%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Heerenveen (home)

Corners for5.9

Corners against4.2

NEC Nijmegen (away)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Heerenveen

7 12 10 16 15

NEC Nijmegen

5 12 9 11 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.580%

Under 1.520%

Over 2.565%

Under 2.535%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Heerenveen (home)

For1.6

NEC Nijmegen (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Heerenveen — total shots (home)16.2

NEC Nijmegen — total shots (away)15.8

Shots on Target

Heerenveen — on target (home)5.8

NEC Nijmegen — on target (away)6.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Heerenveen

Inside the box9.89

Outside the box5

NEC Nijmegen

Inside the box10.65

Outside the box6.41

Player Shots Heerenveen

J. Trenskow

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target35%

L. Nordås

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target35%

M. Rivera

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target27%

D. Vente

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target16%

R. Meerveld

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots NEC Nijmegen

T. Chery

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target42%

B. Linssen

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target66%

+1.5 On Target28%

N. Lebreton

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target18%

Koki Ogawa

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target19%

B. Önal

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Heerenveen xG (home)1.71

NEC Nijmegen xG (away)1.88

Average Possession

51.2% Possession 56.62%

Team Comparison Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen

79.77% Pass accuracy 78.74%

443.94 Passes per match 429.21

-0.23 Goals prevented -0.09

10.89 Fouls committed 11.91

3.83 Goalkeeper saves 3.41

1.26 Offsides 2.19

15.17 Tackles per match 15.44

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen prediction analysis

Review Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights