Prediction Analysis: Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Eredivisie
2025-12-06
15:30
Heerenveen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
76%
Confidence
High
Score
1-2
PSV Eindhoven
Away
Prediction Summary
1
24%
X
19%
2
57%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS Yes
72%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Heerenveen (Home)
Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate76%
PSV Eindhoven (Away)
Goals scored / match2.53
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate71%
Team Form last 5 matches
Heerenveen
LDLWW
PSV Eindhoven
WWDWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
82%
+0.5
100%
65%
+1.5
82%
35%
+2.5
35%
12%
+3.5
24%
0%
+4.5
12%
76%
BTTS
71%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 76%. Model confidence is High.
Heerenveen averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while PSV Eindhoven averages 2.53 goals scored away.
Model Strength
76%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
24%
Draw
19%
Away Win
57%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS Yes
72%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
Heerenveen(A)
1 - 3
PSV Eindhoven
Away
Feb 2026
Heerenveen(A)
1 - 4
PSV Eindhoven
Away
Dec 2025
Heerenveen
0 - 2
PSV Eindhoven
Away
Mar 2025
Heerenveen(A)
1 - 2
PSV Eindhoven
Away
Dec 2024
Heerenveen
1 - 0
PSV Eindhoven
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Heerenveen won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.
Current Streaks
Heerenveen — unbeaten run (home)7
Heerenveen — scoring streak (home)0
PSV Eindhoven — winless run (away)0
PSV Eindhoven — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Heerenveen Win (1)24%
Draw (X)19%
PSV Eindhoven Win (2)57%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
82%
+0.5
100%
65%
+1.5
82%
35%
+2.5
35%
12%
+3.5
24%
0%
+4.5
12%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
18%
-0.5
0%
35%
-1.5
18%
65%
-2.5
65%
88%
-3.5
76%
100%
-4.5
88%
Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Heerenveen — scored (home)1.94
Heerenveen — conceded (home)1.41
PSV Eindhoven — scored (away)2.53
PSV Eindhoven — conceded (away)1.12
Model expected combined goals4
Both Teams To Score
Yes72%
No28%
Rate per Team
Heerenveen — BTTS matches (home)76%
PSV Eindhoven — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)73.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.597%
Under 6.53%
Over 7.588%
Under 7.512%
Over 8.579%
Under 8.521%
Over 9.568%
Under 9.532%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
Heerenveen (home)
Corners for5.9
Corners against4.2
PSV Eindhoven (away)
Corners for6.7
Corners against4.6
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Heerenveen
7
12
10
16
15
PSV Eindhoven
7
8
10
12
20
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.574%
Under 1.526%
Over 2.556%
Under 2.544%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.9
Yellow Cards per Team
Heerenveen (home)
For1.6
PSV Eindhoven (away)
For2.1
Shots per Game
Heerenveen — total shots (home)16.2
PSV Eindhoven — total shots (away)16.0
Shots on Target
Heerenveen — on target (home)5.8
PSV Eindhoven — on target (away)7.1
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Heerenveen
Inside the box9.89
Outside the box5
PSV Eindhoven
Inside the box12.15
Outside the box5.41
Player Shots Heerenveen
J. Trenskow
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target35%
L. Nordås
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target35%
M. Rivera
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
D. Vente
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target16%
R. Meerveld
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target16%
Player Shots PSV Eindhoven
I. Saibari
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target48%
R. Pepi
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target77%
+1.5 On Target35%
R. van Bommel
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target17%
G. Til
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target21%
P. Wanner
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Heerenveen xG (home)1.71
PSV Eindhoven xG (away)2.18
Average Possession
51.2%
Possession
60.85%
Team Comparison Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven
79.77%
Pass accuracy
86.21%
443.94
Passes per match
549.82
-0.23
Goals prevented
-0.46
10.89
Fouls committed
10.26
3.83
Goalkeeper saves
2.74
1.26
Offsides
1.65
15.17
Tackles per match
16.79
League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven prediction analysis
Review Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights