Prediction Analysis: Heerenveen vs Twente
Heerenveen vs Twente prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Eredivisie
2026-08-09
14:45
Heerenveen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Twente
Away
Prediction Summary
1
40%
X
23%
2
37%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Heerenveen (Home)
Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate76%
Twente (Away)
Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate82%
Team Form last 5 matches
Heerenveen
LDLWW
Twente
LWDDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
82%
+0.5
88%
65%
+1.5
53%
35%
+2.5
18%
12%
+3.5
12%
0%
+4.5
6%
76%
BTTS
82%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.
Heerenveen averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Twente averages 1.76 goals scored away.
Model Strength
65%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
40%
Draw
23%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
65%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
Heerenveen(A)
0 - 5
Twente
Away
Aug 2025
Heerenveen
1 - 2
Twente
Away
Feb 2025
Heerenveen
3 - 3
Twente
Draw
Sep 2024
Heerenveen(A)
0 - 2
Twente
Away
Apr 2024
Heerenveen
3 - 3
Twente
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Heerenveen won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
Heerenveen — unbeaten run (home)7
Heerenveen — scoring streak (home)0
Twente — winless run (away)2
Twente — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Heerenveen Win (1)40%
Draw (X)23%
Twente Win (2)37%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
82%
+0.5
88%
65%
+1.5
53%
35%
+2.5
18%
12%
+3.5
12%
0%
+4.5
6%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
18%
-0.5
12%
35%
-1.5
47%
65%
-2.5
82%
88%
-3.5
88%
100%
-4.5
94%
Heerenveen vs Twente — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Heerenveen — scored (home)1.94
Heerenveen — conceded (home)1.41
Twente — scored (away)1.76
Twente — conceded (away)1.41
Model expected combined goals3.27
Both Teams To Score
Yes65%
No35%
Rate per Team
Heerenveen — BTTS matches (home)76%
Twente — BTTS matches (away)82%
Combined (simple average)79%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.30
Per-Team Corners own matches
Heerenveen (home)
Corners for5.9
Corners against4.2
Twente (away)
Corners for5.0
Corners against4.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Heerenveen
7
12
10
16
15
Twente
8
12
7
11
20
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.577%
Under 1.523%
Over 2.556%
Under 2.544%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2
Yellow Cards per Team
Heerenveen (home)
For1.6
Twente (away)
For1.8
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.576%
Under 19.524%
Over 22.565%
Under 22.535%
Over 25.552%
Under 25.548%
Expected total shots27.14
Heerenveen
Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.564%
Shots Over 13.550%
Expected shots14.14
On Target Over 3.568%
On Target Over 4.553%
On Target Over 5.539%
Expected on target5.03
Twente
Shots Over 9.572%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.542%
Expected shots13.01
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.71
Shots per Game
Heerenveen — total shots (home)16.2
Twente — total shots (away)16.6
Shots on Target
Heerenveen — on target (home)5.8
Twente — on target (away)6.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Heerenveen
Inside the box9.89
Outside the box5
Twente
Inside the box11.68
Outside the box6.12
Player Shots Heerenveen
J. Trenskow
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target35%
L. Nordås
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target35%
M. Rivera
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
D. Vente
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target16%
R. Meerveld
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target16%
Player Shots Twente
K. Hlynsson
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target24%
S. Lammers
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target28%
D. Rots
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Ørjasæter
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%
R. van Wolfswinkel
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target23%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Heerenveen xG (home)1.71
Twente xG (away)1.93
Average Possession
51.2%
Possession
54.12%
Team Comparison Heerenveen vs Twente
79.77%
Pass accuracy
80.29%
443.94
Passes per match
464.38
-0.23
Goals prevented
0.04
10.89
Fouls committed
10.68
3.83
Goalkeeper saves
2.41
1.26
Offsides
1
15.17
Tackles per match
17.18
League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Heerenveen vs Twente prediction analysis
Review Heerenveen vs Twente with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights