What markets are included in the Hellas Verona vs AC Milan prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Hellas Verona vs AC Milan prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Hellas Verona vs AC Milan

Hellas Verona vs AC Milan prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2024-12-20 19:45

Hellas Verona

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

70%

Confidence

High

Score

1-2

AC Milan

Away

Prediction Summary

28%

21%

51%

Over 2.5

70%

BTTS Yes

69%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Hellas Verona (Home)

Goals scored / match0.79

Goals conceded / match1.89

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate37%

AC Milan (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Hellas Verona

WDDLL

AC Milan

WLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

47% +0.5 95%

21% +1.5 47%

11% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 70%. Model confidence is High.

Hellas Verona averages 0.79 goals scored at home, while AC Milan averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength

70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

28%

Draw

21%

Away Win

51%

Over 2.5

70%

BTTS Yes

69%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Hellas Verona 0 - 1 AC Milan Away

Dec 2025 Hellas Verona(A) 0 - 3 AC Milan Away

Feb 2025 Hellas Verona(A) 0 - 1 AC Milan Away

Dec 2024 Hellas Verona 0 - 1 AC Milan Away

Mar 2024 Hellas Verona 1 - 3 AC Milan Away

In the last 5 meetings, Hellas Verona won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Hellas Verona — unbeaten run (home)2

Hellas Verona — scoring streak (home)2

AC Milan — winless run (away)1

AC Milan — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Hellas Verona Win (1)28%

Draw (X)21%

AC Milan Win (2)51%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

47% +0.5 95%

21% +1.5 47%

11% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

53% -0.5 5%

79% -1.5 53%

89% -2.5 84%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Hellas Verona vs AC Milan — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Hellas Verona — scored (home)0.79

Hellas Verona — conceded (home)1.89

AC Milan — scored (away)1.63

AC Milan — conceded (away)1.42

Model expected combined goals3.64

Both Teams To Score

Yes69%

No31%

Rate per Team

Hellas Verona — BTTS matches (home)37%

AC Milan — BTTS matches (away)68%

Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.558%

Under 8.542%

Over 9.542%

Under 9.558%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Hellas Verona (home)

Corners for4.8

Corners against4.2

AC Milan (away)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Hellas Verona

5 7 9 10 14

AC Milan

9 15 7 6 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Hellas Verona (home)

For2.7

AC Milan (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Hellas Verona — total shots (home)10.9

AC Milan — total shots (away)14.0

Shots on Target

Hellas Verona — on target (home)2.7

AC Milan — on target (away)5.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Hellas Verona

Inside the box6.18

Outside the box3.66

AC Milan

Inside the box9.55

Outside the box5.26

Player Shots Hellas Verona

D. Mosquera

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target9%

D. Ghilardi

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target4%

T. Suslov

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target19%

+1.5 On Target3%

S. Serdar

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target5%

C. Tengstedt

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots AC Milan

I. Bennacer

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target17%

Emerson Royal

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target6%

João Félix

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

T. Reijnders

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target51%

+1.5 On Target16%

T. Abraham

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Hellas Verona xG (home)0.91

AC Milan xG (away)1.67

Average Possession

38.47% Possession 54.08%

Team Comparison Hellas Verona vs AC Milan

74.21% Pass accuracy 87.21%

318.58 Passes per match 465.32

0.01 Goals prevented -0.26

15.24 Fouls committed 10.92

2.95 Goalkeeper saves 2.71

1.57 Offsides 1.67

17.71 Tackles per match 14.53

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Hellas Verona vs AC Milan prediction analysis

Review Hellas Verona vs AC Milan with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights