Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Hellas Verona vs Bologna

Hellas Verona vs Bologna prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-03-09 11:30
Hellas Verona
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Bologna
Away

Prediction Summary

1
25%
X
23%
2
52%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Hellas Verona (Home)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1.89
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate37%

Bologna (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Hellas Verona
WDDLL
Bologna
LLLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

47% +0.5 68%
21% +1.5 53%
11% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Hellas Verona averages 0.79 goals scored at home, while Bologna averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
25%
Draw
23%
Away Win
52%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Hellas Verona(A) 2 - 1 Bologna Home
Jan 2026 Hellas Verona 2 - 3 Bologna Away
Mar 2025 Hellas Verona 1 - 2 Bologna Away
Dec 2024 Hellas Verona(A) 3 - 2 Bologna Home
Feb 2024 Hellas Verona(A) 0 - 2 Bologna Away

In the last 5 meetings, Hellas Verona won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Hellas Verona — unbeaten run (home)2
Hellas Verona — scoring streak (home)2
Bologna — winless run (away)4
Bologna — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Hellas Verona Win (1)25%
Draw (X)23%
Bologna Win (2)52%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

47% +0.5 68%
21% +1.5 53%
11% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

53% -0.5 32%
79% -1.5 47%
89% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Hellas Verona vs Bologna — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Hellas Verona — scored (home)0.79
Hellas Verona — conceded (home)1.89
Bologna — scored (away)1.26
Bologna — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals3.08

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Hellas Verona — BTTS matches (home)37%
Bologna — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.582%
Under 4.518%
Over 5.569%
Under 5.531%
Over 6.555%
Under 6.545%
Over 7.548%
Under 7.552%
Over 8.542%
Under 8.558%
Over 9.532%
Under 9.568%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Hellas Verona (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.2

Bologna (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Hellas Verona
5 7 9 10 14
Bologna
11 13 7 6 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Hellas Verona (home)

For2.7

Bologna (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

Hellas Verona — total shots (home)10.9
Bologna — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Hellas Verona — on target (home)2.7
Bologna — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Hellas Verona

Inside the box6.18
Outside the box3.66

Bologna

Inside the box8.61
Outside the box4.87

Player Shots Hellas Verona

D. Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Ghilardi
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target4%
T. Suslov
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target3%
S. Serdar
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target5%
C. Tengstedt
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Bologna

J. Lucumí
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target3%
+1.5 On Target3%
R. Orsolini
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target23%
T. Pobega
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target14%
J. Odgaard
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target24%
B. Domínguez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Hellas Verona xG (home)0.91
Bologna xG (away)1.3

Average Possession

38.47% Possession 58.58%

Team Comparison Hellas Verona vs Bologna

74.21% Pass accuracy 83.11%
318.58 Passes per match 462.82
0.01 Goals prevented -0.21
15.24 Fouls committed 14.13
2.95 Goalkeeper saves 1.66
1.57 Offsides 1.75
17.71 Tackles per match 15.53

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Hellas Verona vs Bologna prediction analysis

Review Hellas Verona vs Bologna with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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