What markets are included in the Hellas Verona vs Lecce prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Hellas Verona vs Lecce prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Hellas Verona vs Lecce

Hellas Verona vs Lecce prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-11 13:00

Hellas Verona

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

46%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Lecce

Away

Prediction Summary

32%

27%

41%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

51%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Hellas Verona (Home)

Goals scored / match0.79

Goals conceded / match1.89

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate37%

Lecce (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Hellas Verona

WDDLL

Lecce

WWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

47% +0.5 53%

21% +1.5 11%

11% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Hellas Verona averages 0.79 goals scored at home, while Lecce averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

32%

Draw

27%

Away Win

41%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Hellas Verona 0 - 0 Lecce Draw

Nov 2025 Hellas Verona(A) 0 - 0 Lecce Draw

May 2025 Hellas Verona 1 - 1 Lecce Draw

Oct 2024 Hellas Verona(A) 0 - 1 Lecce Away

Mar 2024 Hellas Verona(A) 1 - 0 Lecce Home

In the last 5 meetings, Hellas Verona won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Hellas Verona — unbeaten run (home)2

Hellas Verona — scoring streak (home)2

Lecce — winless run (away)0

Lecce — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Hellas Verona Win (1)32%

Draw (X)27%

Lecce Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

47% +0.5 53%

21% +1.5 11%

11% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

53% -0.5 47%

79% -1.5 89%

89% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Hellas Verona vs Lecce — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Hellas Verona — scored (home)0.79

Hellas Verona — conceded (home)1.89

Lecce — scored (away)0.74

Lecce — conceded (away)1.42

Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%

No49%

Rate per Team

Hellas Verona — BTTS matches (home)37%

Lecce — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.582%

Under 5.518%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.569%

Under 7.531%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Hellas Verona (home)

Corners for4.8

Corners against4.2

Lecce (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Hellas Verona

5 7 9 10 14

Lecce

15 7 9 7 18

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Hellas Verona (home)

For2.7

Lecce (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Hellas Verona — total shots (home)10.9

Lecce — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Hellas Verona — on target (home)2.7

Lecce — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Hellas Verona

Inside the box6.18

Outside the box3.66

Lecce

Inside the box6.68

Outside the box5.26

Player Shots Hellas Verona

D. Mosquera

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target9%

D. Ghilardi

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target4%

T. Suslov

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target19%

+1.5 On Target3%

S. Serdar

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target5%

C. Tengstedt

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Lecce

K. N’Dri

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target9%

Tete Morente

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target13%

N. Krstović

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target24%

P. Dorgu

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target14%

S. Pierotti

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Hellas Verona xG (home)0.91

Lecce xG (away)0.92

Average Possession

38.47% Possession 43.55%

Team Comparison Hellas Verona vs Lecce

74.21% Pass accuracy 77.63%

318.58 Passes per match 356.13

0.01 Goals prevented 0.18

15.24 Fouls committed 12.24

2.95 Goalkeeper saves 3.39

1.57 Offsides 1.37

17.71 Tackles per match 16.5

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Hellas Verona vs Lecce prediction analysis

Review Hellas Verona vs Lecce with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights