Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Heracles vs Den Bosch

Heracles vs Den Bosch prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Eerste Divisie 2026-08-14 18:00
Heracles
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
75%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Den Bosch
Away

Prediction Summary

1
70%
X
16%
2
14%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Heracles (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Den Bosch (Away)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match2.25
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate75%

Team Form last 5 matches

Den Bosch
LLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 80%
0% +1.5 50%
0% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 75%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 75%. Model confidence is High.

Heracles averages 0 goals scored at home, while Den Bosch averages 1.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
75%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
70%
Draw
16%
Away Win
14%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Yes
65%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2023 Heracles 3 - 2 Den Bosch Home
Sep 2022 Heracles(A) 2 - 1 Den Bosch Home

In the last 2 meetings, Heracles won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Den Bosch — winless run (away)2
Den Bosch — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Heracles Win (1)70%
Draw (X)16%
Den Bosch Win (2)14%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 80%
0% +1.5 50%
0% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 20%
100% -1.5 50%
100% -2.5 85%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Heracles vs Den Bosch — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Heracles — scored (home)0
Heracles — conceded (home)0
Den Bosch — scored (away)1.5
Den Bosch — conceded (away)2.25
Model expected combined goals3.93

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%
No35%

Rate per Team

Heracles — BTTS matches (home)0%
Den Bosch — BTTS matches (away)75%
Combined (simple average)37.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.546%
Under 10.554%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Heracles (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Den Bosch (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against7.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Den Bosch
9 12 8 15 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.545%
Under 1.555%
Over 2.537%
Under 2.563%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Heracles (home)

For—

Den Bosch (away)

For1.9

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.580%
Under 19.520%
Over 22.568%
Under 22.532%
Over 25.554%
Under 25.546%
Expected total shots27.05

Heracles

Shots Over 9.585%
Shots Over 11.573%
Shots Over 13.559%
Expected shots15.27
On Target Over 3.577%
On Target Over 4.562%
On Target Over 5.547%
Expected on target5.60

Den Bosch

Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.549%
Shots Over 13.533%
Expected shots11.79
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.42

Shots per Game

Heracles — total shots (home)—
Den Bosch — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

Heracles — on target (home)—
Den Bosch — on target (away)4.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Heracles

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Den Bosch

Inside the box8.79
Outside the box4.42

Player Shots Heracles

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Den Bosch

I. Boumassaoudi
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target26%
J. De Vries
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target18%
K. Monzialo
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target34%
S. Karlsson Grach
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. El Allachi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Heracles xG (home)-
Den Bosch xG (away)1.5

Average Possession

-% Possession 47.39%

Team Comparison Heracles vs Den Bosch

0% Pass accuracy 81.37%
- Passes per match 373.11
- Goals prevented 0
- Fouls committed 11.29
- Goalkeeper saves 3.84
- Offsides 2.16
- Tackles per match 17.24

League average xG this season is 1.67 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Heracles vs Den Bosch prediction analysis

Review Heracles vs Den Bosch with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eerste Divisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eerste Divisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top