Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Hibernian vs Celtic

Hibernian vs Celtic prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Premiership 2025-11-30 12:00
Hibernian
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Celtic
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
26%
2
27%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Hibernian (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate47%

Celtic (Away)

Goals scored / match1.58
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Hibernian
LWWLL
Celtic
WWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 79%
53% +1.5 58%
32% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Hibernian averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Celtic averages 1.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
26%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Hibernian 1 - 2 Celtic Away
Feb 2026 Hibernian(A) 2 - 1 Celtic Home
Nov 2025 Hibernian 1 - 2 Celtic Away
Sep 2025 Hibernian(A) 0 - 0 Celtic Draw
May 2025 Hibernian(A) 1 - 3 Celtic Away

In the last 5 meetings, Hibernian won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Hibernian — unbeaten run (home)0
Hibernian — scoring streak (home)0
Celtic — winless run (away)0
Celtic — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Hibernian Win (1)47%
Draw (X)26%
Celtic Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 79%
53% +1.5 58%
32% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 21%
47% -1.5 42%
68% -2.5 84%
95% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Hibernian vs Celtic — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Hibernian — scored (home)1.68
Hibernian — conceded (home)1
Celtic — scored (away)1.58
Celtic — conceded (away)1.37
Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Hibernian — BTTS matches (home)47%
Celtic — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.566%
Under 9.534%
Over 10.561%
Under 10.539%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Hibernian (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against6.2

Celtic (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Hibernian
11 13 11 12 11
Celtic
16 13 8 7 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Hibernian (home)

For2.0

Celtic (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Hibernian — total shots (home)13.9
Celtic — total shots (away)14.6

Shots on Target

Hibernian — on target (home)5.0
Celtic — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Hibernian

Inside the box8.61
Outside the box3.45

Celtic

Inside the box10.82
Outside the box5.58

Player Shots Hibernian

K. Bowie
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Hoilett
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Klidje
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target11%
É. Youan
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots Celtic

B. Nygren
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target24%
D. Maeda
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%
T. Čvančara
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Kenny
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Ịheanachọ
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Hibernian xG (home)1.23
Celtic xG (away)2.02

Average Possession

46.74% Possession 65.53%

Team Comparison Hibernian vs Celtic

77.37% Pass accuracy 86.13%
392.29 Passes per match 602.87
-0.28 Goals prevented -0.28
11.05 Fouls committed 12.42
2.84 Goalkeeper saves 2.29
1.81 Offsides 1.5
13.03 Tackles per match 13.92

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Hibernian vs Celtic prediction analysis

Review Hibernian vs Celtic with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top