Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Hibernian vs Dundee Utd

Hibernian vs Dundee Utd prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-09-13 16:45
Hibernian
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Dundee Utd
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
23%
2
24%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Hibernian (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate47%

Dundee Utd (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Hibernian
LWWLL
Dundee Utd
DDLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 68%
53% +1.5 47%
32% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Hibernian averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Dundee Utd averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
23%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Hibernian 3 - 2 Dundee Utd Home
Dec 2025 Hibernian(A) 1 - 1 Dundee Utd Draw
Sep 2025 Hibernian 3 - 3 Dundee Utd Draw
May 2025 Hibernian 3 - 1 Dundee Utd Home
Feb 2025 Hibernian(A) 3 - 1 Dundee Utd Home

In the last 5 meetings, Hibernian won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Hibernian — unbeaten run (home)0
Hibernian — scoring streak (home)0
Dundee Utd — winless run (away)6
Dundee Utd — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Hibernian Win (1)53%
Draw (X)23%
Dundee Utd Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 68%
53% +1.5 47%
32% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 32%
47% -1.5 53%
68% -2.5 84%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Hibernian vs Dundee Utd — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Hibernian — scored (home)1.68
Hibernian — conceded (home)1
Dundee Utd — scored (away)1.32
Dundee Utd — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Hibernian — BTTS matches (home)47%
Dundee Utd — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.561%
Under 9.539%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Hibernian (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against6.2

Dundee Utd (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Hibernian
11 13 11 12 11
Dundee Utd
6 12 6 15 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Hibernian (home)

For2.0

Dundee Utd (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Hibernian — total shots (home)13.9
Dundee Utd — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

Hibernian — on target (home)5.0
Dundee Utd — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Hibernian

Inside the box8.61
Outside the box3.45

Dundee Utd

Inside the box8.82
Outside the box4.42

Player Shots Hibernian

K. Bowie
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Hoilett
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Klidje
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target11%
É. Youan
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots Dundee Utd

A. Ahmed Fatah
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
Z. Sapsford
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Watters
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
O. Stirton
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
I. Dolček
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Hibernian xG (home)1.23
Dundee Utd xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

46.74% Possession 42.26%

Team Comparison Hibernian vs Dundee Utd

77.37% Pass accuracy 68.03%
392.29 Passes per match 314.68
-0.28 Goals prevented -0.18
11.05 Fouls committed 12.89
2.84 Goalkeeper saves 3.32
1.81 Offsides 1.69
13.03 Tackles per match 15.82

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Hibernian vs Dundee Utd prediction analysis

Review Hibernian vs Dundee Utd with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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