Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Hibernian vs Falkirk

Hibernian vs Falkirk prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-12-06 15:00
Hibernian
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Falkirk
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
24%
2
25%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Hibernian (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate47%

Falkirk (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.56
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate33%

Team Form last 5 matches

Hibernian
LWWLL
Falkirk
LLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 56%
53% +1.5 28%
32% +2.5 11%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 33%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Hibernian averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Falkirk averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
24%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Hibernian(A) 3 - 1 Falkirk Home
Jan 2026 Hibernian(A) 1 - 4 Falkirk Away
Dec 2025 Hibernian 3 - 0 Falkirk Home
Sep 2025 Hibernian(A) 2 - 2 Falkirk Draw
Jul 2022 Hibernian(A) 0 - 1 Falkirk Away

In the last 5 meetings, Hibernian won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Hibernian — unbeaten run (home)0
Hibernian — scoring streak (home)0
Falkirk — winless run (away)2
Falkirk — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Hibernian Win (1)51%
Draw (X)24%
Falkirk Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 56%
53% +1.5 28%
32% +2.5 11%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 44%
47% -1.5 72%
68% -2.5 89%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Hibernian vs Falkirk — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Hibernian — scored (home)1.68
Hibernian — conceded (home)1
Falkirk — scored (away)0.94
Falkirk — conceded (away)1.56
Model expected combined goals2.86

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Hibernian — BTTS matches (home)47%
Falkirk — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)40%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.597%
Under 6.53%
Over 7.595%
Under 7.55%
Over 8.589%
Under 8.511%
Over 9.576%
Under 9.524%
Over 10.556%
Under 10.544%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Hibernian (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against6.2

Falkirk (away)

Corners for5.1
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Hibernian
11 13 11 12 11
Falkirk
16 7 11 10 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Hibernian (home)

For2.0

Falkirk (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Hibernian — total shots (home)13.9
Falkirk — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Hibernian — on target (home)5.0
Falkirk — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Hibernian

Inside the box8.61
Outside the box3.45

Falkirk

Inside the box7.42
Outside the box4.37

Player Shots Hibernian

K. Bowie
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Hoilett
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Klidje
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target11%
É. Youan
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots Falkirk

B. Stewart
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target18%
R. MacIver
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. Miller
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target16%
Brian Graham
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target5%
B. Broggio
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Hibernian xG (home)1.23
Falkirk xG (away)1.37

Average Possession

46.74% Possession 50.79%

Team Comparison Hibernian vs Falkirk

77.37% Pass accuracy 76.66%
392.29 Passes per match 400.39
-0.28 Goals prevented -0.43
11.05 Fouls committed 12.05
2.84 Goalkeeper saves 3.03
1.81 Offsides 2.14
13.03 Tackles per match 18.11

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Hibernian vs Falkirk prediction analysis

Review Hibernian vs Falkirk with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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