Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian

Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Premiership 2025-12-27 12:30
Hibernian
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Heart Of Midlothian
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
25%
2
39%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Hibernian (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate47%

Heart Of Midlothian (Away)

Goals scored / match1.58
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Hibernian
LWWLL
Heart Of Midlothian
LWDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 79%
53% +1.5 63%
32% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Hibernian averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Heart Of Midlothian averages 1.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
25%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Hibernian 1 - 2 Heart Of Midlothian Away
Feb 2026 Hibernian(A) 0 - 1 Heart Of Midlothian Away
Dec 2025 Hibernian 3 - 2 Heart Of Midlothian Home
Oct 2025 Hibernian(A) 0 - 1 Heart Of Midlothian Away
Mar 2025 Hibernian 2 - 1 Heart Of Midlothian Home

In the last 5 meetings, Hibernian won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Hibernian — unbeaten run (home)0
Hibernian — scoring streak (home)0
Heart Of Midlothian — winless run (away)2
Heart Of Midlothian — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Hibernian Win (1)36%
Draw (X)25%
Heart Of Midlothian Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 79%
53% +1.5 63%
32% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 21%
47% -1.5 37%
68% -2.5 84%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Hibernian — scored (home)1.68
Hibernian — conceded (home)1
Heart Of Midlothian — scored (away)1.58
Heart Of Midlothian — conceded (away)1.21
Model expected combined goals2.84

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Hibernian — BTTS matches (home)47%
Heart Of Midlothian — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.598%
Under 6.52%
Over 7.592%
Under 7.58%
Over 8.584%
Under 8.516%
Over 9.571%
Under 9.529%
Over 10.555%
Under 10.545%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Hibernian (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against6.2

Heart Of Midlothian (away)

Corners for5.7
Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Hibernian
11 13 11 12 11
Heart Of Midlothian
11 8 8 10 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Hibernian (home)

For2.0

Heart Of Midlothian (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Hibernian — total shots (home)13.9
Heart Of Midlothian — total shots (away)13.9

Shots on Target

Hibernian — on target (home)5.0
Heart Of Midlothian — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Hibernian

Inside the box8.61
Outside the box3.45

Heart Of Midlothian

Inside the box9.74
Outside the box4.58

Player Shots Hibernian

K. Bowie
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Hoilett
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Klidje
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target11%
É. Youan
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots Heart Of Midlothian

L. Shankland
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target48%
Cláudio Braga
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Kyziridis
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
P. Kabore
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target12%
Ageu
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Hibernian xG (home)1.23
Heart Of Midlothian xG (away)1.46

Average Possession

46.74% Possession 53.39%

Team Comparison Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian

77.37% Pass accuracy 75.55%
392.29 Passes per match 414.24
-0.28 Goals prevented -0.46
11.05 Fouls committed 10.92
2.84 Goalkeeper saves 2
1.81 Offsides 1.31
13.03 Tackles per match 16.87

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction analysis

Review Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top