Prediction Analysis: Hibernian vs Kilmarnock
Hibernian vs Kilmarnock prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Premiership
2026-08-22
14:00
Hibernian
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Kilmarnock
Away
Prediction Summary
1
56%
X
22%
2
21%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Hibernian (Home)
Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate47%
Kilmarnock (Away)
Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match2.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate63%
Team Form last 5 matches
Hibernian
LWWLL
Kilmarnock
WWWWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
79%
+0.5
74%
53%
+1.5
26%
32%
+2.5
11%
5%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
47%
BTTS
63%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.
Hibernian averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Kilmarnock averages 1.16 goals scored away.
Model Strength
57%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
56%
Draw
22%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Hibernian
3 - 0
Kilmarnock
Home
Jan 2026
Hibernian(A)
3 - 1
Kilmarnock
Home
Aug 2025
Hibernian
2 - 2
Kilmarnock
Draw
Mar 2025
Hibernian(A)
1 - 1
Kilmarnock
Draw
Dec 2024
Hibernian
1 - 0
Kilmarnock
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Hibernian won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Hibernian — unbeaten run (home)0
Hibernian — scoring streak (home)0
Kilmarnock — winless run (away)0
Kilmarnock — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Hibernian Win (1)56%
Draw (X)22%
Kilmarnock Win (2)21%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
79%
+0.5
74%
53%
+1.5
26%
32%
+2.5
11%
5%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
21%
-0.5
26%
47%
-1.5
74%
68%
-2.5
89%
95%
-3.5
95%
100%
-4.5
100%
Hibernian vs Kilmarnock — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Hibernian — scored (home)1.68
Hibernian — conceded (home)1
Kilmarnock — scored (away)1.16
Kilmarnock — conceded (away)2.11
Model expected combined goals2.97
Both Teams To Score
Yes56%
No44%
Rate per Team
Hibernian — BTTS matches (home)47%
Kilmarnock — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)55%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
Hibernian (home)
Corners for5.6
Corners against6.2
Kilmarnock (away)
Corners for3.8
Corners against6.4
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Hibernian
11
13
11
12
11
Kilmarnock
11
12
5
8
7
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3
Yellow Cards per Team
Hibernian (home)
For2.0
Kilmarnock (away)
For2.4
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.545%
Under 25.555%
Expected total shots25.33
Hibernian
Shots Over 9.579%
Shots Over 11.566%
Shots Over 13.552%
Expected shots14.33
On Target Over 3.570%
On Target Over 4.555%
On Target Over 5.540%
Expected on target5.15
Kilmarnock
Shots Over 9.559%
Shots Over 11.542%
Shots Over 13.527%
Expected shots10.99
On Target Over 3.549%
On Target Over 4.532%
On Target Over 5.519%
Expected on target3.70
Shots per Game
Hibernian — total shots (home)13.9
Kilmarnock — total shots (away)9.2
Shots on Target
Hibernian — on target (home)5.0
Kilmarnock — on target (away)3.4
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Hibernian
Inside the box8.61
Outside the box3.45
Kilmarnock
Inside the box7.66
Outside the box3.68
Player Shots Hibernian
K. Bowie
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Hoilett
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Klidje
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target11%
É. Youan
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target18%
Player Shots Kilmarnock
T. John-Jules
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target78%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Hugill
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
Findlay Curtis
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
G. Kiltie
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
D. Daniels
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Hibernian xG (home)1.23
Kilmarnock xG (away)1.36
Average Possession
46.74%
Possession
42.45%
Team Comparison Hibernian vs Kilmarnock
77.37%
Pass accuracy
73.08%
392.29
Passes per match
348.76
-0.28
Goals prevented
0.03
11.05
Fouls committed
13.13
2.84
Goalkeeper saves
3.55
1.81
Offsides
1.84
13.03
Tackles per match
15.47
League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Hibernian vs Kilmarnock prediction analysis
Review Hibernian vs Kilmarnock with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights