Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Hibernian vs Livingston

Hibernian vs Livingston prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-10-18 14:00
Hibernian
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
66%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Livingston
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
22%
2
31%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS Yes
66%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Hibernian (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate47%

Livingston (Away)

Goals scored / match0.8
Goals conceded / match1.95
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate45%

Team Form last 5 matches

Hibernian
LWWLL
Livingston
LDLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 50%
53% +1.5 30%
32% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 45%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 66%. Model confidence is Medium.

Hibernian averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Livingston averages 0.8 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
22%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS Yes
66%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Hibernian 0 - 0 Livingston Draw
Nov 2025 Hibernian(A) 2 - 2 Livingston Draw
Oct 2025 Hibernian 4 - 0 Livingston Home
Aug 2025 Hibernian(A) 2 - 0 Livingston Home
May 2024 Hibernian(A) 1 - 1 Livingston Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Hibernian won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Hibernian — unbeaten run (home)0
Hibernian — scoring streak (home)0
Livingston — winless run (away)2
Livingston — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Hibernian Win (1)47%
Draw (X)22%
Livingston Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 50%
53% +1.5 30%
32% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 50%
47% -1.5 70%
68% -2.5 100%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Hibernian vs Livingston — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Hibernian — scored (home)1.68
Hibernian — conceded (home)1
Livingston — scored (away)0.8
Livingston — conceded (away)1.95
Model expected combined goals3.4

Both Teams To Score

Yes66%
No34%

Rate per Team

Hibernian — BTTS matches (home)47%
Livingston — BTTS matches (away)45%
Combined (simple average)46%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.598%
Under 6.52%
Over 7.588%
Under 7.512%
Over 8.582%
Under 8.518%
Over 9.572%
Under 9.528%
Over 10.562%
Under 10.538%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Hibernian (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against6.2

Livingston (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against6.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Hibernian
11 13 11 12 11
Livingston
15 9 12 15 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Hibernian (home)

For2.0

Livingston (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Hibernian — total shots (home)13.9
Livingston — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Hibernian — on target (home)5.0
Livingston — on target (away)2.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Hibernian

Inside the box8.61
Outside the box3.45

Livingston

Inside the box6.29
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Hibernian

K. Bowie
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Hoilett
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Klidje
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target11%
É. Youan
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots Livingston

T. Yengi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. May
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%
R. Muirhead
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
C. McLennan
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Smith
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Hibernian xG (home)1.23
Livingston xG (away)1.09

Average Possession

46.74% Possession 44.97%

Team Comparison Hibernian vs Livingston

77.37% Pass accuracy 73.13%
392.29 Passes per match 372.84
-0.28 Goals prevented 0.11
11.05 Fouls committed 12.89
2.84 Goalkeeper saves 3.05
1.81 Offsides 1.49
13.03 Tackles per match 15.92

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Hibernian vs Livingston prediction analysis

Review Hibernian vs Livingston with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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