Prediction Analysis: Hibernian vs Motherwell
Hibernian vs Motherwell prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Premiership
2026-08-02
15:30
Hibernian
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Motherwell
Away
Prediction Summary
1
43%
X
26%
2
32%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Hibernian (Home)
Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate47%
Motherwell (Away)
Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate58%
Team Form last 5 matches
Hibernian
LWWLL
Motherwell
WLDLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
79%
+0.5
74%
53%
+1.5
37%
32%
+2.5
21%
5%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
5%
47%
BTTS
58%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.
Hibernian averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Motherwell averages 1.42 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
43%
Draw
26%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
Hibernian
0 - 1
Motherwell
Away
Mar 2026
Hibernian(A)
0 - 0
Motherwell
Draw
Jan 2026
Hibernian
1 - 1
Motherwell
Draw
Nov 2025
Hibernian(A)
0 - 2
Motherwell
Away
Jan 2025
Hibernian
3 - 1
Motherwell
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Hibernian won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Hibernian — unbeaten run (home)0
Hibernian — scoring streak (home)0
Motherwell — winless run (away)0
Motherwell — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Hibernian Win (1)43%
Draw (X)26%
Motherwell Win (2)32%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
79%
+0.5
74%
53%
+1.5
37%
32%
+2.5
21%
5%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
5%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
21%
-0.5
26%
47%
-1.5
63%
68%
-2.5
79%
95%
-3.5
95%
100%
-4.5
95%
Hibernian vs Motherwell — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Hibernian — scored (home)1.68
Hibernian — conceded (home)1
Motherwell — scored (away)1.42
Motherwell — conceded (away)1.21
Model expected combined goals2.66
Both Teams To Score
Yes54%
No46%
Rate per Team
Hibernian — BTTS matches (home)47%
Motherwell — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)52.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
Hibernian (home)
Corners for5.6
Corners against6.2
Motherwell (away)
Corners for3.8
Corners against4.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Hibernian
11
13
11
12
11
Motherwell
12
7
8
7
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Hibernian (home)
For2.0
Motherwell (away)
For2.1
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.559%
Under 22.541%
Over 25.546%
Under 25.554%
Expected total shots25.44
Hibernian
Shots Over 9.575%
Shots Over 11.560%
Shots Over 13.545%
Expected shots13.43
On Target Over 3.565%
On Target Over 4.549%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.71
Motherwell
Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.535%
Expected shots12.00
On Target Over 3.553%
On Target Over 4.536%
On Target Over 5.523%
Expected on target3.96
Shots per Game
Hibernian — total shots (home)13.9
Motherwell — total shots (away)12.3
Shots on Target
Hibernian — on target (home)5.0
Motherwell — on target (away)4.1
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Hibernian
Inside the box8.61
Outside the box3.45
Motherwell
Inside the box8.5
Outside the box4.68
Player Shots Hibernian
K. Bowie
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Hoilett
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Klidje
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target11%
É. Youan
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target18%
Player Shots Motherwell
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target37%
C. Slattery
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Just
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Stamatelopoulos
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Hendry
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target19%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Hibernian xG (home)1.23
Motherwell xG (away)1.41
Average Possession
46.74%
Possession
57.89%
Team Comparison Hibernian vs Motherwell
77.37%
Pass accuracy
84.5%
392.29
Passes per match
533
-0.28
Goals prevented
-0.06
11.05
Fouls committed
11.66
2.84
Goalkeeper saves
2.63
1.81
Offsides
2.24
13.03
Tackles per match
14.55
League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Hibernian vs Motherwell prediction and preview
Preview Hibernian vs Motherwell with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights