Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Hibernian vs Motherwell

Hibernian vs Motherwell prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2026-01-10 15:00
Hibernian
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Motherwell
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
25%
2
27%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Hibernian (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate47%

Motherwell (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Hibernian
LWWLL
Motherwell
WLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 74%
53% +1.5 37%
32% +2.5 21%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
47% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.

Hibernian averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Motherwell averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
25%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Hibernian 0 - 1 Motherwell Away
Mar 2026 Hibernian(A) 0 - 0 Motherwell Draw
Jan 2026 Hibernian 1 - 1 Motherwell Draw
Nov 2025 Hibernian(A) 0 - 2 Motherwell Away
Jan 2025 Hibernian 3 - 1 Motherwell Home

In the last 5 meetings, Hibernian won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Hibernian — unbeaten run (home)0
Hibernian — scoring streak (home)0
Motherwell — winless run (away)0
Motherwell — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Hibernian Win (1)48%
Draw (X)25%
Motherwell Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 74%
53% +1.5 37%
32% +2.5 21%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 26%
47% -1.5 63%
68% -2.5 79%
95% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Hibernian vs Motherwell — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Hibernian — scored (home)1.68
Hibernian — conceded (home)1
Motherwell — scored (away)1.42
Motherwell — conceded (away)1.21
Model expected combined goals2.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Hibernian — BTTS matches (home)47%
Motherwell — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.563%
Under 9.537%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Hibernian (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against6.2

Motherwell (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Hibernian
11 13 11 12 11
Motherwell
12 7 8 7 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Hibernian (home)

For2.0

Motherwell (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Hibernian — total shots (home)13.9
Motherwell — total shots (away)12.3

Shots on Target

Hibernian — on target (home)5.0
Motherwell — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Hibernian

Inside the box8.61
Outside the box3.45

Motherwell

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Hibernian

K. Bowie
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Hoilett
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Klidje
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target11%
É. Youan
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots Motherwell

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target37%
C. Slattery
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Just
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Stamatelopoulos
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Hendry
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Hibernian xG (home)1.23
Motherwell xG (away)1.41

Average Possession

46.74% Possession 57.89%

Team Comparison Hibernian vs Motherwell

77.37% Pass accuracy 84.5%
392.29 Passes per match 533
-0.28 Goals prevented -0.06
11.05 Fouls committed 11.66
2.84 Goalkeeper saves 2.63
1.81 Offsides 2.24
13.03 Tackles per match 14.55

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Hibernian vs Motherwell prediction analysis

Review Hibernian vs Motherwell with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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