Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: HNK Rijeka vs IF Elfsborg

HNK Rijeka vs IF Elfsborg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-08-08 18:00
HNK Rijeka
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
IF Elfsborg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
26%
2
27%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

HNK Rijeka (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match0.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%

IF Elfsborg (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

HNK Rijeka
LDWD
IF Elfsborg
LWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 75%
0% +1.5 38%
0% +2.5 25%
0% +3.5 13%
0% +4.5 13%
50% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

HNK Rijeka averages 1 goals scored at home, while IF Elfsborg averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
26%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2024 HNK Rijeka(A) 0 - 2 IF Elfsborg Away
Aug 2024 HNK Rijeka 1 - 1 IF Elfsborg Draw

In the last 2 meetings, HNK Rijeka won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

HNK Rijeka — unbeaten run (home)2
HNK Rijeka — scoring streak (home)2
IF Elfsborg — winless run (away)4
IF Elfsborg — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

HNK Rijeka Win (1)47%
Draw (X)26%
IF Elfsborg Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 75%
0% +1.5 38%
0% +2.5 25%
0% +3.5 13%
0% +4.5 13%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 25%
100% -1.5 62%
100% -2.5 75%
100% -3.5 87%
100% -4.5 87%

HNK Rijeka vs IF Elfsborg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

HNK Rijeka — scored (home)1
HNK Rijeka — conceded (home)0.5
IF Elfsborg — scored (away)1.63
IF Elfsborg — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.56

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

HNK Rijeka — BTTS matches (home)50%
IF Elfsborg — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.532%
Under 4.568%
Over 5.532%
Under 5.568%
Over 6.532%
Under 6.568%
Over 7.525%
Under 7.575%
Over 8.525%
Under 8.575%
Over 9.519%
Under 9.581%
Over 10.57%
Under 10.593%
Expected total corners (blended average)6.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

HNK Rijeka (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

IF Elfsborg (away)

Corners for2.8
Corners against7.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

HNK Rijeka
0 0 0 0
IF Elfsborg
9 10 6 13 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

HNK Rijeka (home)

For—

IF Elfsborg (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

HNK Rijeka — total shots (home)—
IF Elfsborg — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

HNK Rijeka — on target (home)—
IF Elfsborg — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

HNK Rijeka

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

IF Elfsborg

Inside the box4.5
Outside the box2.25

Player Shots HNK Rijeka

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots IF Elfsborg

E. Holten
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
M. Baidoo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Qasem
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target0%
G. Henriksson
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
T. Ouma
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

HNK Rijeka xG (home)-
IF Elfsborg xG (away)0.92

Average Possession

-% Possession 33.8%

Team Comparison HNK Rijeka vs IF Elfsborg

0% Pass accuracy 70.38%
- Passes per match 286
- Goals prevented -0.14
- Fouls committed 12.6
- Goalkeeper saves 3.8
- Offsides 2.1
- Tackles per match 18.25

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

HNK Rijeka vs IF Elfsborg prediction analysis

Review HNK Rijeka vs IF Elfsborg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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