Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Heidenheim

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Heidenheim prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2024-11-02 14:30
Holstein Kiel
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
76%
Confidence
High
Score
1-2
1. FC Heidenheim
Away

Prediction Summary

1
15%
X
16%
2
69%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS Yes
67%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Holstein Kiel (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match2.41
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate59%

1. FC Heidenheim (Away)

Goals scored / match1.44
Goals conceded / match1.78
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Holstein Kiel
LLWWD
1. FC Heidenheim
WDLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 78%
35% +1.5 56%
18% +2.5 11%
18% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 76%. Model confidence is High.

Holstein Kiel averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while 1. FC Heidenheim averages 1.44 goals scored away.

Model Strength
76%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
15%
Draw
16%
Away Win
69%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS Yes
67%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2025 Holstein Kiel(A) 1 - 3 1. FC Heidenheim Away
Nov 2024 Holstein Kiel 1 - 0 1. FC Heidenheim Home
Apr 2023 Holstein Kiel(A) 0 - 3 1. FC Heidenheim Away
Oct 2022 Holstein Kiel 3 - 1 1. FC Heidenheim Home
Apr 2022 Holstein Kiel 1 - 1 1. FC Heidenheim Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Holstein Kiel won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Holstein Kiel — unbeaten run (home)0
Holstein Kiel — scoring streak (home)3
1. FC Heidenheim — winless run (away)0
1. FC Heidenheim — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Holstein Kiel Win (1)15%
Draw (X)16%
1. FC Heidenheim Win (2)69%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 78%
35% +1.5 56%
18% +2.5 11%
18% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 22%
65% -1.5 44%
82% -2.5 89%
82% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Heidenheim — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Holstein Kiel — scored (home)1.41
Holstein Kiel — conceded (home)2.41
1. FC Heidenheim — scored (away)1.44
1. FC Heidenheim — conceded (away)1.78
Model expected combined goals4

Both Teams To Score

Yes67%
No33%

Rate per Team

Holstein Kiel — BTTS matches (home)59%
1. FC Heidenheim — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)54.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.552%
Under 8.548%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Holstein Kiel (home)

Corners for3.6
Corners against5.8

1. FC Heidenheim (away)

Corners for3.0
Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Holstein Kiel
16 15 12 7 8
1. FC Heidenheim
10 3 10 8 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.583%
Under 1.517%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Holstein Kiel (home)

For2.2

1. FC Heidenheim (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Holstein Kiel — total shots (home)11.2
1. FC Heidenheim — total shots (away)10.9

Shots on Target

Holstein Kiel — on target (home)4.2
1. FC Heidenheim — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Holstein Kiel

Inside the box7.21
Outside the box3.76

1. FC Heidenheim

Inside the box7.61
Outside the box4.47

Player Shots Holstein Kiel

A. Kelati
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
P. Harres
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target19%
S. Machino
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
N. Remberg
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
A. Bernhardsson
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots 1. FC Heidenheim

B. Zivzivadze
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target18%
L. Kerber
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Pieringer
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target21%
O. Traoré
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
Léo Scienza
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Holstein Kiel xG (home)1.18
1. FC Heidenheim xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

43.65% Possession 43.33%

Team Comparison Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Heidenheim

76.41% Pass accuracy 76.31%
370.29 Passes per match 386.47
-0.15 Goals prevented 0.1
11.97 Fouls committed 11.22
3.59 Goalkeeper saves 3.08
1.38 Offsides 1.6
15.97 Tackles per match 17.69

League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Heidenheim prediction analysis

Review Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Heidenheim with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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