What markets are included in the Holstein Kiel vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Holstein Kiel vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Holstein Kiel vs Bayer Leverkusen

Holstein Kiel vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-02-22 14:30

Holstein Kiel

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

69%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-2

Bayer Leverkusen

Away

Prediction Summary

22%

20%

58%

Over 2.5

69%

BTTS Yes

66%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Holstein Kiel (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41

Goals conceded / match2.41

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate59%

Bayer Leverkusen (Away)

Goals scored / match2.12

Goals conceded / match1.24

Over 2.5 rate29%

BTTS rate76%

Team Form last 5 matches

Holstein Kiel

LLWWD

Bayer Leverkusen

DLDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 94%

35% +1.5 71%

18% +2.5 29%

18% +3.5 18%

6% +4.5 0%

59% BTTS 76%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 69%. Model confidence is Medium.

Holstein Kiel averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Bayer Leverkusen averages 2.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength

69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

22%

Draw

20%

Away Win

58%

Over 2.5

69%

BTTS Yes

66%

Head-to-Head last 2

Feb 2025 Holstein Kiel 0 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen Away

Oct 2024 Holstein Kiel(A) 2 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Holstein Kiel won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Holstein Kiel — unbeaten run (home)0

Holstein Kiel — scoring streak (home)3

Bayer Leverkusen — winless run (away)3

Bayer Leverkusen — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Holstein Kiel Win (1)22%

Draw (X)20%

Bayer Leverkusen Win (2)58%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 94%

35% +1.5 71%

18% +2.5 29%

18% +3.5 18%

6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 6%

65% -1.5 29%

82% -2.5 71%

82% -3.5 82%

94% -4.5 100%

Holstein Kiel vs Bayer Leverkusen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Holstein Kiel — scored (home)1.41

Holstein Kiel — conceded (home)2.41

Bayer Leverkusen — scored (away)2.12

Bayer Leverkusen — conceded (away)1.24

Model expected combined goals3.55

Both Teams To Score

Yes66%

No34%

Rate per Team

Holstein Kiel — BTTS matches (home)59%

Bayer Leverkusen — BTTS matches (away)76%

Combined (simple average)67.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%

Under 4.59%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.565%

Under 7.535%

Over 8.547%

Under 8.553%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Holstein Kiel (home)

Corners for3.6

Corners against5.8

Bayer Leverkusen (away)

Corners for5.1

Corners against4.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Holstein Kiel

16 15 12 7 8

Bayer Leverkusen

8 10 5 12 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.582%

Under 1.518%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Holstein Kiel (home)

For2.2

Bayer Leverkusen (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Holstein Kiel — total shots (home)11.2

Bayer Leverkusen — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

Holstein Kiel — on target (home)4.2

Bayer Leverkusen — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Holstein Kiel

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box3.76

Bayer Leverkusen

Inside the box9.97

Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Holstein Kiel

A. Kelati

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

P. Harres

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target19%

S. Machino

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

N. Remberg

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target3%

A. Bernhardsson

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots Bayer Leverkusen

V. Boniface

Shots on Target/Game2.3

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target37%

P. Schick

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target26%

F. Wirtz

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target45%

E. Palacios

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target8%

Álex Grimaldo

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Holstein Kiel xG (home)1.18

Bayer Leverkusen xG (away)1.69

Average Possession

43.65% Possession 59.44%

Team Comparison Holstein Kiel vs Bayer Leverkusen

76.41% Pass accuracy 86.12%

370.29 Passes per match 589.47

-0.15 Goals prevented -0.11

11.97 Fouls committed 9.56

3.59 Goalkeeper saves 2.85

1.38 Offsides 1.94

15.97 Tackles per match 11.68

League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Holstein Kiel vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction analysis

Review Holstein Kiel vs Bayer Leverkusen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights