Prediction Analysis: Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
2. Bundesliga
2025-12-20
19:30
Holstein Kiel
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Dynamo Dresden
Away
Prediction Summary
1
44%
X
26%
2
30%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Holstein Kiel (Home)
Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate53%
Dynamo Dresden (Away)
Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate76%
Team Form last 5 matches
Holstein Kiel
LLWWW
Dynamo Dresden
WLWLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
82%
+0.5
82%
35%
+1.5
53%
12%
+2.5
6%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
53%
BTTS
76%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.
Holstein Kiel averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while Dynamo Dresden averages 1.41 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
44%
Draw
26%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
Holstein Kiel(A)
1 - 2
Dynamo Dresden
Away
Dec 2025
Holstein Kiel
2 - 1
Dynamo Dresden
Home
Apr 2022
Holstein Kiel(A)
0 - 0
Dynamo Dresden
Draw
Nov 2021
Holstein Kiel
2 - 1
Dynamo Dresden
Home
Jun 2020
Holstein Kiel
2 - 0
Dynamo Dresden
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Holstein Kiel won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Holstein Kiel — unbeaten run (home)0
Holstein Kiel — scoring streak (home)3
Dynamo Dresden — winless run (away)2
Dynamo Dresden — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Holstein Kiel Win (1)44%
Draw (X)26%
Dynamo Dresden Win (2)30%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
82%
+0.5
82%
35%
+1.5
53%
12%
+2.5
6%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
18%
-0.5
18%
65%
-1.5
47%
88%
-2.5
94%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Holstein Kiel — scored (home)1.29
Holstein Kiel — conceded (home)1.12
Dynamo Dresden — scored (away)1.41
Dynamo Dresden — conceded (away)1.82
Model expected combined goals2.69
Both Teams To Score
Yes54%
No46%
Rate per Team
Holstein Kiel — BTTS matches (home)53%
Dynamo Dresden — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)64.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.588%
Under 7.512%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Holstein Kiel (home)
Corners for6.1
Corners against4.8
Dynamo Dresden (away)
Corners for5.2
Corners against6.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Holstein Kiel
5
8
9
16
12
Dynamo Dresden
9
9
11
14
12
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4
Yellow Cards per Team
Holstein Kiel (home)
For2.1
Dynamo Dresden (away)
For1.9
Shots per Game
Holstein Kiel — total shots (home)13.2
Dynamo Dresden — total shots (away)13.3
Shots on Target
Holstein Kiel — on target (home)4.2
Dynamo Dresden — on target (away)4.2
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Holstein Kiel
Inside the box7.47
Outside the box4.47
Dynamo Dresden
Inside the box8.38
Outside the box4.56
Player Shots Holstein Kiel
L. Köster
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
A. Bernhardsson
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target20%
P. Harres
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target15%
K. Davidsen
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target7%
S. Skrzybski
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target10%
Player Shots Dynamo Dresden
R. Wagner
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Lemmer
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Sterner
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target12%
+1.5 On Target6%
N. Hauptmann
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target13%
V. Vermeij
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target17%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Holstein Kiel xG (home)1.23
Dynamo Dresden xG (away)1.48
Average Possession
51.71%
Possession
50.15%
Team Comparison Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden
80.5%
Pass accuracy
79.79%
420.15
Passes per match
429.06
-0.24
Goals prevented
-0.26
14.29
Fouls committed
10.76
3.03
Goalkeeper saves
2.59
1.58
Offsides
2
14.03
Tackles per match
16.12
League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden prediction analysis
Review Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights