Prediction Analysis: Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
2. Bundesliga
2026-08-14
16:30
Holstein Kiel
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC St. Pauli
Away
Prediction Summary
1
42%
X
25%
2
32%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Holstein Kiel (Home)
Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate53%
FC St. Pauli (Away)
Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%
Team Form last 5 matches
Holstein Kiel
LLWWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
82%
+0.5
0%
35%
+1.5
0%
12%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
53%
BTTS
0%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.
Holstein Kiel averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while FC St. Pauli averages 0 goals scored away.
Model Strength
56%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
42%
Draw
25%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2025
Holstein Kiel
1 - 2
FC St. Pauli
Away
Nov 2024
Holstein Kiel(A)
1 - 3
FC St. Pauli
Away
Feb 2024
Holstein Kiel
3 - 4
FC St. Pauli
Away
Sep 2023
Holstein Kiel(A)
1 - 5
FC St. Pauli
Away
May 2023
Holstein Kiel
3 - 4
FC St. Pauli
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Holstein Kiel won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.
Current Streaks
Holstein Kiel — unbeaten run (home)0
Holstein Kiel — scoring streak (home)3
1X2 Probability model
Holstein Kiel Win (1)42%
Draw (X)25%
FC St. Pauli Win (2)32%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
82%
+0.5
0%
35%
+1.5
0%
12%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
18%
-0.5
100%
65%
-1.5
100%
88%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Holstein Kiel — scored (home)1.29
Holstein Kiel — conceded (home)1.12
FC St. Pauli — scored (away)0
FC St. Pauli — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.78
Both Teams To Score
Yes56%
No44%
Rate per Team
Holstein Kiel — BTTS matches (home)53%
FC St. Pauli — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)26.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
Holstein Kiel (home)
Corners for6.1
Corners against4.8
FC St. Pauli (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Holstein Kiel
5
8
9
16
12
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.547%
Under 1.553%
Over 2.544%
Under 2.556%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9
Yellow Cards per Team
Holstein Kiel (home)
For2.1
FC St. Pauli (away)
For—
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.581%
Under 19.519%
Over 22.567%
Under 22.533%
Over 25.552%
Under 25.548%
Expected total shots26.50
Holstein Kiel
Shots Over 9.581%
Shots Over 11.567%
Shots Over 13.550%
Expected shots13.89
On Target Over 3.567%
On Target Over 4.550%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.73
FC St. Pauli
Shots Over 9.574%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.539%
Expected shots12.61
On Target Over 3.559%
On Target Over 4.541%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.24
Shots per Game
Holstein Kiel — total shots (home)13.2
FC St. Pauli — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Holstein Kiel — on target (home)4.2
FC St. Pauli — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Holstein Kiel
Inside the box7.47
Outside the box4.47
FC St. Pauli
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player Shots Holstein Kiel
L. Köster
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
A. Bernhardsson
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target20%
P. Harres
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target15%
K. Davidsen
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target7%
S. Skrzybski
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target10%
Player Shots FC St. Pauli
Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Holstein Kiel xG (home)1.23
FC St. Pauli xG (away)-
Average Possession
51.71%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli
80.5%
Pass accuracy
0%
420.15
Passes per match
-
-0.24
Goals prevented
-
14.29
Fouls committed
-
3.03
Goalkeeper saves
-
1.58
Offsides
-
14.03
Tackles per match
-
League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli prediction analysis
Review Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights