Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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2. Bundesliga 2025-11-29 12:00
Holstein Kiel
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Hertha BSC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
28%
X
28%
2
44%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Holstein Kiel (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate53%

Hertha BSC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.82
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Holstein Kiel
LLWWW
Hertha BSC
LWLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 88%
35% +1.5 53%
12% +2.5 29%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%
53% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Holstein Kiel averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while Hertha BSC averages 1.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
28%
Draw
28%
Away Win
44%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2026 Holstein Kiel(A) 1 - 0 Hertha BSC Home
Nov 2025 Holstein Kiel 0 - 1 Hertha BSC Away
Mar 2024 Holstein Kiel(A) 2 - 2 Hertha BSC Draw
Sep 2023 Holstein Kiel 2 - 3 Hertha BSC Away

In the last 4 meetings, Holstein Kiel won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Holstein Kiel — unbeaten run (home)0
Holstein Kiel — scoring streak (home)3
Hertha BSC — winless run (away)3
Hertha BSC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Holstein Kiel Win (1)28%
Draw (X)28%
Hertha BSC Win (2)44%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 88%
35% +1.5 53%
12% +2.5 29%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 12%
65% -1.5 47%
88% -2.5 71%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 94%

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Holstein Kiel — scored (home)1.29
Holstein Kiel — conceded (home)1.12
Hertha BSC — scored (away)1.82
Hertha BSC — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Holstein Kiel — BTTS matches (home)53%
Hertha BSC — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Holstein Kiel (home)

Corners for6.1
Corners against4.8

Hertha BSC (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Holstein Kiel
5 8 9 16 12
Hertha BSC
10 8 8 20 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Holstein Kiel (home)

For2.1

Hertha BSC (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Holstein Kiel — total shots (home)13.2
Hertha BSC — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

Holstein Kiel — on target (home)4.2
Hertha BSC — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Holstein Kiel

Inside the box7.47
Outside the box4.47

Hertha BSC

Inside the box8.59
Outside the box3.88

Player Shots Holstein Kiel

L. Köster
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
A. Bernhardsson
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target20%
P. Harres
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target15%
K. Davidsen
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target7%
S. Skrzybski
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Hertha BSC

F. Reese
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target33%
S. Grønning
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target5%
P. Klemens
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Winkler
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Cuisance
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Holstein Kiel xG (home)1.23
Hertha BSC xG (away)1.44

Average Possession

51.71% Possession 48.74%

Team Comparison Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC

80.5% Pass accuracy 80.09%
420.15 Passes per match 400.53
-0.24 Goals prevented 0.06
14.29 Fouls committed 12.38
3.03 Goalkeeper saves 2.94
1.58 Offsides 2
14.03 Tackles per match 13.85

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC prediction analysis

Review Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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