What markets are included in the Holstein Kiel vs Union Berlin prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Holstein Kiel vs Union Berlin prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Holstein Kiel vs Union Berlin

Holstein Kiel vs Union Berlin prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2024-10-20 13:30

Holstein Kiel

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

58%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-2

Union Berlin

Away

Prediction Summary

13%

19%

68%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Holstein Kiel (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41

Goals conceded / match2.41

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate59%

Union Berlin (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.65

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Holstein Kiel

LLWWD

Union Berlin

WLDDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 53%

35% +1.5 35%

18% +2.5 6%

18% +3.5 6%

6% +4.5 0%

59% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Holstein Kiel averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Union Berlin averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

13%

Draw

19%

Away Win

68%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2025 Holstein Kiel(A) 1 - 0 Union Berlin Home

Oct 2024 Holstein Kiel 0 - 2 Union Berlin Away

In the last 2 meetings, Holstein Kiel won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Holstein Kiel — unbeaten run (home)0

Holstein Kiel — scoring streak (home)3

Union Berlin — winless run (away)0

Union Berlin — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Holstein Kiel Win (1)13%

Draw (X)19%

Union Berlin Win (2)68%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 53%

35% +1.5 35%

18% +2.5 6%

18% +3.5 6%

6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 47%

65% -1.5 65%

82% -2.5 94%

82% -3.5 94%

94% -4.5 100%

Holstein Kiel vs Union Berlin — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Holstein Kiel — scored (home)1.41

Holstein Kiel — conceded (home)2.41

Union Berlin — scored (away)1

Union Berlin — conceded (away)1.65

Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Holstein Kiel — BTTS matches (home)59%

Union Berlin — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.568%

Under 7.532%

Over 8.556%

Under 8.544%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.541%

Under 10.559%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Holstein Kiel (home)

Corners for3.6

Corners against5.8

Union Berlin (away)

Corners for4.6

Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Holstein Kiel

16 15 12 7 8

Union Berlin

8 14 10 3 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.585%

Under 1.515%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Holstein Kiel (home)

For2.2

Union Berlin (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Holstein Kiel — total shots (home)11.2

Union Berlin — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Holstein Kiel — on target (home)4.2

Union Berlin — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Holstein Kiel

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box3.76

Union Berlin

Inside the box8.26

Outside the box4

Player Shots Holstein Kiel

A. Kelati

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

P. Harres

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target19%

S. Machino

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

N. Remberg

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target3%

A. Bernhardsson

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots Union Berlin

L. Tousart

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target13%

Y. Vertessen

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target12%

A. Ilić

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

B. Hollerbach

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target15%

Jeong Woo-Yeong

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Holstein Kiel xG (home)1.18

Union Berlin xG (away)1.09

Average Possession

43.65% Possession 40.41%

Team Comparison Holstein Kiel vs Union Berlin

76.41% Pass accuracy 73.65%

370.29 Passes per match 359.03

-0.15 Goals prevented 0.06

11.97 Fouls committed 12.32

3.59 Goalkeeper saves 2.68

1.38 Offsides 2.03

15.97 Tackles per match 15.94

League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Holstein Kiel vs Union Berlin prediction analysis

Review Holstein Kiel vs Union Berlin with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights