Prediction Analysis: Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart
Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2025-03-08
14:30
Holstein Kiel
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
VfB Stuttgart
Away
Prediction Summary
1
29%
X
22%
2
48%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Holstein Kiel (Home)
Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match2.41
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate59%
VfB Stuttgart (Away)
Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate59%
Team Form last 5 matches
Holstein Kiel
LLWWD
VfB Stuttgart
WWWLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
65%
+0.5
76%
35%
+1.5
53%
18%
+2.5
29%
18%
+3.5
12%
6%
+4.5
0%
59%
BTTS
59%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.
Holstein Kiel averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while VfB Stuttgart averages 1.71 goals scored away.
Model Strength
65%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
29%
Draw
22%
Away Win
48%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
65%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
Holstein Kiel
0 - 3
VfB Stuttgart
Away
Mar 2025
Holstein Kiel
2 - 2
VfB Stuttgart
Draw
Oct 2024
Holstein Kiel(A)
1 - 2
VfB Stuttgart
Away
May 2020
Holstein Kiel
3 - 2
VfB Stuttgart
Home
Oct 2019
Holstein Kiel(A)
1 - 0
VfB Stuttgart
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Holstein Kiel won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Holstein Kiel — unbeaten run (home)0
Holstein Kiel — scoring streak (home)3
VfB Stuttgart — winless run (away)0
VfB Stuttgart — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Holstein Kiel Win (1)29%
Draw (X)22%
VfB Stuttgart Win (2)48%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
65%
+0.5
76%
35%
+1.5
53%
18%
+2.5
29%
18%
+3.5
12%
6%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
35%
-0.5
24%
65%
-1.5
47%
82%
-2.5
71%
82%
-3.5
88%
94%
-4.5
100%
Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Holstein Kiel — scored (home)1.41
Holstein Kiel — conceded (home)2.41
VfB Stuttgart — scored (away)1.71
VfB Stuttgart — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals3.33
Both Teams To Score
Yes65%
No35%
Rate per Team
Holstein Kiel — BTTS matches (home)59%
VfB Stuttgart — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)59%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
Holstein Kiel (home)
Corners for3.6
Corners against5.8
VfB Stuttgart (away)
Corners for4.5
Corners against5.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Holstein Kiel
16
15
12
7
8
VfB Stuttgart
8
11
8
13
13
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Holstein Kiel (home)
For2.2
VfB Stuttgart (away)
For2.0
Shots per Game
Holstein Kiel — total shots (home)11.2
VfB Stuttgart — total shots (away)11.2
Shots on Target
Holstein Kiel — on target (home)4.2
VfB Stuttgart — on target (away)4.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Holstein Kiel
Inside the box7.21
Outside the box3.76
VfB Stuttgart
Inside the box10.12
Outside the box3.71
Player Shots Holstein Kiel
A. Kelati
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
P. Harres
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target19%
S. Machino
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
N. Remberg
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
A. Bernhardsson
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%
Player Shots VfB Stuttgart
N. Woltemade
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target25%
E. Millot
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target21%
D. Undav
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target26%
E. Demirović
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target24%
C. Führich
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target9%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Holstein Kiel xG (home)1.18
VfB Stuttgart xG (away)1.88
Average Possession
43.65%
Possession
57.5%
Team Comparison Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart
76.41%
Pass accuracy
84.82%
370.29
Passes per match
538.38
-0.15
Goals prevented
0.04
11.97
Fouls committed
10.53
3.59
Goalkeeper saves
2.5
1.38
Offsides
1.88
15.97
Tackles per match
13.97
League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart prediction analysis
Review Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights