Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum

Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-02-09 14:30
Holstein Kiel
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
70%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
VfL Bochum
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
22%
2
31%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Yes
69%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Holstein Kiel (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match2.41
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate59%

VfL Bochum (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match2.06
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Holstein Kiel
LLWWD
VfL Bochum
WLDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 59%
35% +1.5 29%
18% +2.5 6%
18% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 70%. Model confidence is Medium.

Holstein Kiel averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while VfL Bochum averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
22%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Yes
69%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Holstein Kiel(A) 3 - 2 VfL Bochum Home
Oct 2025 Holstein Kiel 1 - 1 VfL Bochum Draw
Feb 2025 Holstein Kiel 2 - 2 VfL Bochum Draw
Sep 2024 Holstein Kiel(A) 2 - 2 VfL Bochum Draw
Apr 2021 Holstein Kiel(A) 1 - 2 VfL Bochum Away

In the last 5 meetings, Holstein Kiel won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Holstein Kiel — unbeaten run (home)0
Holstein Kiel — scoring streak (home)3
VfL Bochum — winless run (away)0
VfL Bochum — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Holstein Kiel Win (1)47%
Draw (X)22%
VfL Bochum Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 59%
35% +1.5 29%
18% +2.5 6%
18% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 41%
65% -1.5 71%
82% -2.5 94%
82% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Holstein Kiel — scored (home)1.41
Holstein Kiel — conceded (home)2.41
VfL Bochum — scored (away)0.94
VfL Bochum — conceded (away)2.06
Model expected combined goals3.6

Both Teams To Score

Yes69%
No31%

Rate per Team

Holstein Kiel — BTTS matches (home)59%
VfL Bochum — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Holstein Kiel (home)

Corners for3.6
Corners against5.8

VfL Bochum (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Holstein Kiel
16 15 12 7 8
VfL Bochum
9 14 10 12 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Holstein Kiel (home)

For2.2

VfL Bochum (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Holstein Kiel — total shots (home)11.2
VfL Bochum — total shots (away)11.1

Shots on Target

Holstein Kiel — on target (home)4.2
VfL Bochum — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Holstein Kiel

Inside the box7.21
Outside the box3.76

VfL Bochum

Inside the box8.03
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Holstein Kiel

A. Kelati
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
P. Harres
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target19%
S. Machino
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
N. Remberg
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
A. Bernhardsson
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots VfL Bochum

G. Masouras
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Boadu
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Pannewig
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
D. de Wit
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target7%
P. Hofmann
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Holstein Kiel xG (home)1.18
VfL Bochum xG (away)1.24

Average Possession

43.65% Possession 44.76%

Team Comparison Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum

76.41% Pass accuracy 74.18%
370.29 Passes per match 372.79
-0.15 Goals prevented 0.31
11.97 Fouls committed 13.71
3.59 Goalkeeper saves 2.59
1.38 Offsides 1.97
15.97 Tackles per match 17.65

League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum prediction analysis

Review Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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