Prediction Analysis: Holstein Kiel vs Werder Bremen
Holstein Kiel vs Werder Bremen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2025-03-29
14:30
Holstein Kiel
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
73%
Confidence
High
Score
1-2
Werder Bremen
Away
Prediction Summary
1
33%
X
21%
2
46%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS Yes
72%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Holstein Kiel (Home)
Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match2.41
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate59%
Werder Bremen (Away)
Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate59%
Team Form last 5 matches
Holstein Kiel
LLWWD
Werder Bremen
WDDDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
65%
+0.5
82%
35%
+1.5
71%
18%
+2.5
24%
18%
+3.5
18%
6%
+4.5
0%
59%
BTTS
59%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 73%. Model confidence is High.
Holstein Kiel averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Werder Bremen averages 1.94 goals scored away.
Model Strength
73%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
33%
Draw
21%
Away Win
46%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS Yes
72%
Head-to-Head last 4
Mar 2025
Holstein Kiel
0 - 3
Werder Bremen
Away
Nov 2024
Holstein Kiel(A)
1 - 2
Werder Bremen
Away
Apr 2022
Holstein Kiel(A)
3 - 2
Werder Bremen
Home
Nov 2021
Holstein Kiel
2 - 1
Werder Bremen
Home
In the last 4 meetings, Holstein Kiel won 2, drew 0 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Holstein Kiel — unbeaten run (home)0
Holstein Kiel — scoring streak (home)3
Werder Bremen — winless run (away)0
Werder Bremen — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Holstein Kiel Win (1)33%
Draw (X)21%
Werder Bremen Win (2)46%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
65%
+0.5
82%
35%
+1.5
71%
18%
+2.5
24%
18%
+3.5
18%
6%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
35%
-0.5
18%
65%
-1.5
29%
82%
-2.5
76%
82%
-3.5
82%
94%
-4.5
100%
Holstein Kiel vs Werder Bremen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Holstein Kiel — scored (home)1.41
Holstein Kiel — conceded (home)2.41
Werder Bremen — scored (away)1.94
Werder Bremen — conceded (away)1.82
Model expected combined goals3.77
Both Teams To Score
Yes72%
No28%
Rate per Team
Holstein Kiel — BTTS matches (home)59%
Werder Bremen — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)59%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
Holstein Kiel (home)
Corners for3.6
Corners against5.8
Werder Bremen (away)
Corners for4.4
Corners against5.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Holstein Kiel
16
15
12
7
8
Werder Bremen
9
4
10
15
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Holstein Kiel (home)
For2.2
Werder Bremen (away)
For2.1
Shots per Game
Holstein Kiel — total shots (home)11.2
Werder Bremen — total shots (away)11.7
Shots on Target
Holstein Kiel — on target (home)4.2
Werder Bremen — on target (away)4.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Holstein Kiel
Inside the box7.21
Outside the box3.76
Werder Bremen
Inside the box9.47
Outside the box3.15
Player Shots Holstein Kiel
A. Kelati
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
P. Harres
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target19%
S. Machino
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
N. Remberg
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
A. Bernhardsson
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%
Player Shots Werder Bremen
K. Topp
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target5%
M. Ducksch
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
André Silva
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target43%
O. Burke
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
J. Stage
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target11%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Holstein Kiel xG (home)1.18
Werder Bremen xG (away)1.51
Average Possession
43.65%
Possession
49.94%
Team Comparison Holstein Kiel vs Werder Bremen
76.41%
Pass accuracy
80.94%
370.29
Passes per match
469.15
-0.15
Goals prevented
-0
11.97
Fouls committed
9.85
3.59
Goalkeeper saves
3.06
1.38
Offsides
2.18
15.97
Tackles per match
16.03
League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Holstein Kiel vs Werder Bremen prediction analysis
Review Holstein Kiel vs Werder Bremen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights