Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Houston Dynamo vs Austin

Houston Dynamo vs Austin prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Major League Soccer 2026-07-26 00:30
Houston Dynamo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Austin
Away

Prediction Summary

1
38%
X
25%
2
37%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Houston Dynamo (Home)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.72
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate67%

Austin (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.72
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Houston Dynamo
DDLLW
Austin
WLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 72%
22% +1.5 28%
0% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
67% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Houston Dynamo averages 1.17 goals scored at home, while Austin averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
38%
Draw
25%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Aug 2025 Houston Dynamo(A) 2 - 2 Austin Draw
May 2025 Houston Dynamo(A) 1 - 3 Austin Away
Apr 2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - 0 Austin Home
Sep 2024 Houston Dynamo(A) 1 - 0 Austin Home
May 2024 Houston Dynamo(A) 0 - 1 Austin Away

In the last 5 meetings, Houston Dynamo won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Houston Dynamo — unbeaten run (home)1
Houston Dynamo — scoring streak (home)6
Austin — winless run (away)4
Austin — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Houston Dynamo Win (1)38%
Draw (X)25%
Austin Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 72%
22% +1.5 28%
0% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 28%
78% -1.5 72%
100% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Houston Dynamo vs Austin — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Houston Dynamo — scored (home)1.17
Houston Dynamo — conceded (home)1.72
Austin — scored (away)1.11
Austin — conceded (away)1.72
Model expected combined goals2.86

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Houston Dynamo — BTTS matches (home)67%
Austin — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)61.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Houston Dynamo (home)

Corners for5.9
Corners against4.4

Austin (away)

Corners for3.6
Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Houston Dynamo
15 8 8 12 6
Austin
4 16 9 4 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.597%
Under 2.53%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Houston Dynamo (home)

For2.6

Austin (away)

For2.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.576%
Under 19.524%
Over 22.562%
Under 22.538%
Over 25.546%
Under 25.554%
Expected total shots25.44

Houston Dynamo

Shots Over 9.585%
Shots Over 11.573%
Shots Over 13.558%
Expected shots14.95
On Target Over 3.574%
On Target Over 4.558%
On Target Over 5.543%
Expected on target5.26

Austin

Shots Over 9.556%
Shots Over 11.537%
Shots Over 13.522%
Expected shots10.49
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.530%
On Target Over 5.517%
Expected on target3.63

Shots per Game

Houston Dynamo — total shots (home)14.2
Austin — total shots (away)9.4

Shots on Target

Houston Dynamo — on target (home)4.4
Austin — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Houston Dynamo

Inside the box8.18
Outside the box4.09

Austin

Inside the box7
Outside the box3.94

Player Shots Houston Dynamo

G. Segal
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target9%
Antônio Carlos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. McGlynn
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target31%
E. Ponce
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target22%
L. Ennali
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Austin

M. Uzuni
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target24%
Ilie Sánchez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%
B. Vázquez
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target84%
+1.5 On Target26%
O. Wolff
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
D. Rubio
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Houston Dynamo xG (home)1.31
Austin xG (away)1.26

Average Possession

50.47% Possession 47.53%

Team Comparison Houston Dynamo vs Austin

85.24% Pass accuracy 83.87%
456.85 Passes per match 417.72
0.04 Goals prevented 0.24
14.65 Fouls committed 12.47
2.65 Goalkeeper saves 3.72
1.48 Offsides 2
13.91 Tackles per match 13.22

League average xG this season is 1.48 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Houston Dynamo vs Austin prediction analysis

Review Houston Dynamo vs Austin with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Major League Soccer.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Major League Soccer
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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