Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Huachipato vs Union La Calera

Huachipato vs Union La Calera prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-08-09 16:30
Huachipato
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Union La Calera
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
27%
2
20%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Huachipato (Home)

Goals scored / match1.6
Goals conceded / match0.73
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate47%

Union La Calera (Away)

Goals scored / match0.67
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Huachipato
DDWWW
Union La Calera
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

73% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 7%
20% +2.5 7%
13% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Huachipato averages 1.6 goals scored at home, while Union La Calera averages 0.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
27%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
41%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Huachipato 1 - 0 Union La Calera Home
Mar 2025 Huachipato(A) 0 - 1 Union La Calera Away

In the last 2 meetings, Huachipato won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Huachipato — unbeaten run (home)4
Huachipato — scoring streak (home)0
Union La Calera — winless run (away)8
Union La Calera — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Huachipato Win (1)53%
Draw (X)27%
Union La Calera Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

73% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 7%
20% +2.5 7%
13% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

27% -0.5 47%
47% -1.5 93%
80% -2.5 93%
87% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Huachipato vs Union La Calera — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Huachipato — scored (home)1.6
Huachipato — conceded (home)0.73
Union La Calera — scored (away)0.67
Union La Calera — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.22

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%
No59%

Rate per Team

Huachipato — BTTS matches (home)47%
Union La Calera — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)43.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.570%
Under 7.530%
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Huachipato (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.9

Union La Calera (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Huachipato
10 19 5 10 13
Union La Calera
7 7 6 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Huachipato (home)

For1.9

Union La Calera (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Huachipato — total shots (home)12.8
Union La Calera — total shots (away)8.0

Shots on Target

Huachipato — on target (home)4.3
Union La Calera — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Huachipato

Inside the box7.27
Outside the box4.27

Union La Calera

Inside the box5.57
Outside the box4.23

Player Shots Huachipato

L. Altamirano
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target32%
M. Gutierrez
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target17%
Cris Martínez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Arriagada
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
M. Briceno
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots Union La Calera

S. Sáez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Benegas
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ignacio Mesías
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
C. Insaurralde
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Encinas
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Huachipato xG (home)1.26
Union La Calera xG (away)1.05

Average Possession

48.57% Possession 49.03%

Team Comparison Huachipato vs Union La Calera

77.6% Pass accuracy 76.73%
382.53 Passes per match 383.4
0 Goals prevented 0
10.43 Fouls committed 11.5
3.4 Goalkeeper saves 2.76
1.81 Offsides 1.74
15.3 Tackles per match 15.45

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Huachipato vs Union La Calera prediction analysis

Review Huachipato vs Union La Calera with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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