Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Hull City vs Charlton

Hull City vs Charlton prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-10-25 14:00
Hull City
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Charlton
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
26%
2
33%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Hull City (Home)

Goals scored / match1.44
Goals conceded / match1.36
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate60%

Charlton (Away)

Goals scored / match0.91
Goals conceded / match1.39
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

Hull City
WWDWL
Charlton
LWLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 74%
44% +1.5 13%
20% +2.5 4%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Hull City averages 1.44 goals scored at home, while Charlton averages 0.91 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
26%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2026 Hull City(A) 1 - 2 Charlton Away
Oct 2025 Hull City 1 - 1 Charlton Draw
Jun 2020 Hull City 0 - 1 Charlton Away
Dec 2019 Hull City(A) 2 - 2 Charlton Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Hull City won 0, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Hull City — unbeaten run (home)6
Hull City — scoring streak (home)1
Charlton — winless run (away)4
Charlton — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Hull City Win (1)41%
Draw (X)26%
Charlton Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 74%
44% +1.5 13%
20% +2.5 4%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 26%
56% -1.5 87%
80% -2.5 96%
96% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Hull City vs Charlton — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Hull City — scored (home)1.44
Hull City — conceded (home)1.36
Charlton — scored (away)0.91
Charlton — conceded (away)1.39
Model expected combined goals2.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Hull City — BTTS matches (home)60%
Charlton — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)58.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.586%
Under 6.514%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Hull City (home)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.5

Charlton (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Hull City
16 8 5 14 4
Charlton
11 9 5 16 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.586%
Under 1.514%
Over 2.565%
Under 2.535%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Hull City (home)

For2.1

Charlton (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Hull City — total shots (home)11.2
Charlton — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Hull City — on target (home)3.8
Charlton — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Hull City

Inside the box7.59
Outside the box3.53

Charlton

Inside the box7.54
Outside the box3.46

Player Shots Hull City

O. McBurnie
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Gelhardt
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target19%
M. Belloumi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target12%
K. Joseph
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Millar
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Charlton

S. Carey
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target15%
C. Kelman
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Dykes
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Godden
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Fevrier
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Hull City xG (home)1.29
Charlton xG (away)1.03

Average Possession

45% Possession 42.3%

Team Comparison Hull City vs Charlton

72.02% Pass accuracy 70.28%
351.37 Passes per match 315.15
0.13 Goals prevented -0.07
11.16 Fouls committed 12.09
3.12 Goalkeeper saves 3.04
1.73 Offsides 2.15
17.67 Tackles per match 13.59

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Hull City vs Charlton prediction analysis

Review Hull City vs Charlton with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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