Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Hull City vs Middlesbrough

Hull City vs Middlesbrough prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-12-05 20:00
Hull City
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Middlesbrough
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
25%
2
37%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Hull City (Home)

Goals scored / match1.44
Goals conceded / match1.36
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate60%

Middlesbrough (Away)

Goals scored / match1.56
Goals conceded / match1.28
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate64%

Team Form last 5 matches

Hull City
WWDWL
Middlesbrough
LLDDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 76%
44% +1.5 52%
20% +2.5 20%
4% +3.5 8%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 64%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Hull City averages 1.44 goals scored at home, while Middlesbrough averages 1.56 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
25%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Hull City 1 - 0 Middlesbrough Home
Dec 2025 Hull City(A) 1 - 0 Middlesbrough Home
Dec 2025 Hull City 1 - 4 Middlesbrough Away
Jan 2025 Hull City 0 - 1 Middlesbrough Away
Nov 2024 Hull City(A) 1 - 3 Middlesbrough Away

In the last 5 meetings, Hull City won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Hull City — unbeaten run (home)6
Hull City — scoring streak (home)1
Middlesbrough — winless run (away)6
Middlesbrough — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Hull City Win (1)37%
Draw (X)25%
Middlesbrough Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 76%
44% +1.5 52%
20% +2.5 20%
4% +3.5 8%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 24%
56% -1.5 48%
80% -2.5 80%
96% -3.5 92%
100% -4.5 100%

Hull City vs Middlesbrough — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Hull City — scored (home)1.44
Hull City — conceded (home)1.36
Middlesbrough — scored (away)1.56
Middlesbrough — conceded (away)1.28
Model expected combined goals2.78

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Hull City — BTTS matches (home)60%
Middlesbrough — BTTS matches (away)64%
Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Hull City (home)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.5

Middlesbrough (away)

Corners for5.8
Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Hull City
16 8 5 14 4
Middlesbrough
9 9 12 16 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.572%
Under 2.528%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Hull City (home)

For2.1

Middlesbrough (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Hull City — total shots (home)11.2
Middlesbrough — total shots (away)15.2

Shots on Target

Hull City — on target (home)3.8
Middlesbrough — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Hull City

Inside the box7.59
Outside the box3.53

Middlesbrough

Inside the box10.41
Outside the box5.82

Player Shots Hull City

O. McBurnie
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Gelhardt
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target19%
M. Belloumi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target12%
K. Joseph
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Millar
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Middlesbrough

M. Whittaker
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target21%
Leo Castledine
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
T. Conway
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Strelec
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target11%
H. Hackney
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Hull City xG (home)1.29
Middlesbrough xG (away)1.5

Average Possession

45% Possession 59.43%

Team Comparison Hull City vs Middlesbrough

72.02% Pass accuracy 84.08%
351.37 Passes per match 516.84
0.13 Goals prevented -0.17
11.16 Fouls committed 9.33
3.12 Goalkeeper saves 2.22
1.73 Offsides 1.89
17.67 Tackles per match 15.45

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Hull City vs Middlesbrough prediction analysis

Review Hull City vs Middlesbrough with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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