Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Hull City vs Oxford United

Hull City vs Oxford United prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-08-17 14:00
Hull City
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Oxford United
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
26%
2
30%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Hull City (Home)

Goals scored / match1.44
Goals conceded / match1.36
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate60%

Oxford United (Away)

Goals scored / match0.91
Goals conceded / match1.39
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

Hull City
WWDWL
Oxford United
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 57%
44% +1.5 26%
20% +2.5 9%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Hull City averages 1.44 goals scored at home, while Oxford United averages 0.91 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
26%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2026 Hull City(A) 1 - 1 Oxford United Draw
Aug 2025 Hull City 3 - 2 Oxford United Home
Mar 2025 Hull City 2 - 1 Oxford United Home
Nov 2024 Hull City(A) 0 - 1 Oxford United Away

In the last 4 meetings, Hull City won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Hull City — unbeaten run (home)6
Hull City — scoring streak (home)1
Oxford United — winless run (away)4
Oxford United — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Hull City Win (1)43%
Draw (X)26%
Oxford United Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 57%
44% +1.5 26%
20% +2.5 9%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 43%
56% -1.5 74%
80% -2.5 91%
96% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Hull City vs Oxford United — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Hull City — scored (home)1.44
Hull City — conceded (home)1.36
Oxford United — scored (away)0.91
Oxford United — conceded (away)1.39
Model expected combined goals2.55

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Hull City — BTTS matches (home)60%
Oxford United — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)58.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%
Under 4.54%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.566%
Under 9.534%
Over 10.551%
Under 10.549%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Hull City (home)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.5

Oxford United (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against8.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Hull City
16 8 5 14 4
Oxford United
15 10 14 8 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.579%
Under 1.521%
Over 2.569%
Under 2.531%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Hull City (home)

For2.1

Oxford United (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Hull City — total shots (home)11.2
Oxford United — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Hull City — on target (home)3.8
Oxford United — on target (away)2.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Hull City

Inside the box7.59
Outside the box3.53

Oxford United

Inside the box6.48
Outside the box5.46

Player Shots Hull City

O. McBurnie
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Gelhardt
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target19%
M. Belloumi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target12%
K. Joseph
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Millar
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Oxford United

C. Brannagan
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%
W. Lankshear
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target7%
S. Mills
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%
B. De Keersmaecker
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Peart-Harris
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Hull City xG (home)1.29
Oxford United xG (away)1.13

Average Possession

45% Possession 39.89%

Team Comparison Hull City vs Oxford United

72.02% Pass accuracy 69.57%
351.37 Passes per match 304.85
0.13 Goals prevented 0.06
11.16 Fouls committed 10.98
3.12 Goalkeeper saves 3
1.73 Offsides 1.76
17.67 Tackles per match 17.04

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Hull City vs Oxford United prediction analysis

Review Hull City vs Oxford United with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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