Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: IF Elfsborg vs Pafos

IF Elfsborg vs Pafos prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-07-11 17:00
IF Elfsborg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
Pafos
Away

Prediction Summary

1
85%
X
13%
2
2%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
88%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

IF Elfsborg (Home)

Goals scored / match1.38
Goals conceded / match0.25
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate13%

Pafos (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match3
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

IF Elfsborg
LWWLD
Pafos
LL

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 0%
38% +1.5 0%
13% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
13% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is High.

IF Elfsborg averages 1.38 goals scored at home, while Pafos averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
88%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
85%
Draw
13%
Away Win
2%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
12%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jul 2024 IF Elfsborg(A) 5 - 2 Pafos Home
Jul 2024 IF Elfsborg 3 - 0 Pafos Home

In the last 2 meetings, IF Elfsborg won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

IF Elfsborg — unbeaten run (home)4
IF Elfsborg — scoring streak (home)4
Pafos — winless run (away)1
Pafos — clean sheets (away, last 1)0 of 1

1X2 Probability model

IF Elfsborg Win (1)85%
Draw (X)13%
Pafos Win (2)2%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 0%
38% +1.5 0%
13% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 100%
62% -1.5 100%
87% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

IF Elfsborg vs Pafos — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

IF Elfsborg — scored (home)1.38
IF Elfsborg — conceded (home)0.25
Pafos — scored (away)0
Pafos — conceded (away)3
Model expected combined goals2.34

Both Teams To Score

Yes12%
No88%

Rate per Team

IF Elfsborg — BTTS matches (home)13%
Pafos — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)6.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.532%
Under 4.568%
Over 5.532%
Under 5.568%
Over 6.525%
Under 6.575%
Over 7.525%
Under 7.575%
Over 8.519%
Under 8.581%
Over 9.513%
Under 9.587%
Over 10.513%
Under 10.587%
Expected total corners (blended average)6.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

IF Elfsborg (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against6.0

Pafos (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

IF Elfsborg
9 10 6 13 10
Pafos
0 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

IF Elfsborg (home)

For2.4

Pafos (away)

For—

Shots per Game

IF Elfsborg — total shots (home)9.2
Pafos — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

IF Elfsborg — on target (home)4.0
Pafos — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

IF Elfsborg

Inside the box4.5
Outside the box2.25

Pafos

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots IF Elfsborg

E. Holten
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
M. Baidoo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Qasem
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target0%
G. Henriksson
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
T. Ouma
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Pafos

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

IF Elfsborg xG (home)0.92
Pafos xG (away)-

Average Possession

33.8% Possession -%

Team Comparison IF Elfsborg vs Pafos

70.38% Pass accuracy 0%
286 Passes per match -
-0.14 Goals prevented -
12.6 Fouls committed -
3.8 Goalkeeper saves -
2.1 Offsides -
18.25 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

IF Elfsborg vs Pafos prediction analysis

Review IF Elfsborg vs Pafos with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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