Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: IF Elfsborg vs Qarabag

IF Elfsborg vs Qarabag prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-12-12 20:00
IF Elfsborg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
37%
Confidence
High
Score
1-0
Qarabag
Away

Prediction Summary

1
70%
X
21%
2
8%
Under 2.5
63%
BTTS No
72%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

IF Elfsborg (Home)

Goals scored / match1.38
Goals conceded / match0.25
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate13%

Qarabag (Away)

Goals scored / match0.5
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate25%

Team Form last 5 matches

IF Elfsborg
LWWLD
Qarabag
LLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 25%
38% +1.5 25%
13% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
13% BTTS 25%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is High.

IF Elfsborg averages 1.38 goals scored at home, while Qarabag averages 0.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
72%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
70%
Draw
21%
Away Win
8%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
28%

Head-to-Head last 1

Dec 2024 IF Elfsborg 1 - 0 Qarabag Home

In the last 1 meetings, IF Elfsborg won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

IF Elfsborg — unbeaten run (home)4
IF Elfsborg — scoring streak (home)4
Qarabag — winless run (away)2
Qarabag — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

IF Elfsborg Win (1)70%
Draw (X)21%
Qarabag Win (2)8%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 25%
38% +1.5 25%
13% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 75%
62% -1.5 75%
87% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

IF Elfsborg vs Qarabag — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

IF Elfsborg — scored (home)1.38
IF Elfsborg — conceded (home)0.25
Qarabag — scored (away)0.5
Qarabag — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes28%
No72%

Rate per Team

IF Elfsborg — BTTS matches (home)13%
Qarabag — BTTS matches (away)25%
Combined (simple average)19%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.582%
Under 4.518%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.563%
Under 6.537%
Over 7.563%
Under 7.537%
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

IF Elfsborg (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against6.0

Qarabag (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

IF Elfsborg
9 10 6 13 10
Qarabag
13 8 6 11 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

IF Elfsborg (home)

For2.4

Qarabag (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

IF Elfsborg — total shots (home)9.2
Qarabag — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

IF Elfsborg — on target (home)4.0
Qarabag — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

IF Elfsborg

Inside the box4.5
Outside the box2.25

Qarabag

Inside the box6.13
Outside the box4

Player Shots IF Elfsborg

E. Holten
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
M. Baidoo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Qasem
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target0%
G. Henriksson
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Zeneli
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Qarabag

Juninho
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target33%
A. Zoubir
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%
T. Bayramov
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
E. Cəfərquliyev
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target0%
Y. Benzia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

IF Elfsborg xG (home)0.92
Qarabag xG (away)1.14

Average Possession

33.8% Possession 55.25%

Team Comparison IF Elfsborg vs Qarabag

70.38% Pass accuracy 82.5%
286 Passes per match 475.25
-0.14 Goals prevented 0.07
12.6 Fouls committed 9.88
3.8 Goalkeeper saves 4.13
2.1 Offsides 1.88
18.25 Tackles per match 23.25

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

IF Elfsborg vs Qarabag prediction analysis

Review IF Elfsborg vs Qarabag with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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