Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: IF Elfsborg vs Sheriff Tiraspol

IF Elfsborg vs Sheriff Tiraspol prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-08-01 17:00
IF Elfsborg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
34%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Sheriff Tiraspol
Away

Prediction Summary

1
57%
X
27%
2
16%
Under 2.5
66%
BTTS No
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

IF Elfsborg (Home)

Goals scored / match1.38
Goals conceded / match0.25
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate13%

Sheriff Tiraspol (Away)

Goals scored / match0.86
Goals conceded / match2.43
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

IF Elfsborg
LWWLD
Sheriff Tiraspol
LLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 57%
38% +1.5 29%
13% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
13% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 34%. Model confidence is Medium.

IF Elfsborg averages 1.38 goals scored at home, while Sheriff Tiraspol averages 0.86 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
57%
Draw
27%
Away Win
16%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS Yes
35%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2024 IF Elfsborg 2 - 0 Sheriff Tiraspol Home
Jul 2024 IF Elfsborg(A) 1 - 0 Sheriff Tiraspol Home

In the last 2 meetings, IF Elfsborg won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

IF Elfsborg — unbeaten run (home)4
IF Elfsborg — scoring streak (home)4
Sheriff Tiraspol — winless run (away)1
Sheriff Tiraspol — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

IF Elfsborg Win (1)57%
Draw (X)27%
Sheriff Tiraspol Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 57%
38% +1.5 29%
13% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 43%
62% -1.5 71%
87% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

IF Elfsborg vs Sheriff Tiraspol — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

IF Elfsborg — scored (home)1.38
IF Elfsborg — conceded (home)0.25
Sheriff Tiraspol — scored (away)0.86
Sheriff Tiraspol — conceded (away)2.43
Model expected combined goals2.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes35%
No65%

Rate per Team

IF Elfsborg — BTTS matches (home)13%
Sheriff Tiraspol — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)35%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.567%
Under 4.533%
Over 5.567%
Under 5.533%
Over 6.561%
Under 6.539%
Over 7.554%
Under 7.546%
Over 8.541%
Under 8.559%
Over 9.534%
Under 9.566%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

IF Elfsborg (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against6.0

Sheriff Tiraspol (away)

Corners for3.0
Corners against7.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

IF Elfsborg
9 10 6 13 10
Sheriff Tiraspol
8 0 0 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.593%
Under 0.57%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.593%
Under 2.57%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

IF Elfsborg (home)

For2.4

Sheriff Tiraspol (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

IF Elfsborg — total shots (home)9.2
Sheriff Tiraspol — total shots (away)7.0

Shots on Target

IF Elfsborg — on target (home)4.0
Sheriff Tiraspol — on target (away)1.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

IF Elfsborg

Inside the box4.5
Outside the box2.25

Sheriff Tiraspol

Inside the box3.67
Outside the box3.5

Player Shots IF Elfsborg

E. Holten
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
M. Baidoo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Qasem
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target0%
G. Henriksson
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
T. Ouma
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Sheriff Tiraspol

A. Talal
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
Ricardinho
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Ankeye
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Mbekeli
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
C. Tovar
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

IF Elfsborg xG (home)0.92
Sheriff Tiraspol xG (away)0.55

Average Possession

33.8% Possession 39.67%

Team Comparison IF Elfsborg vs Sheriff Tiraspol

70.38% Pass accuracy 76.17%
286 Passes per match 359.5
-0.14 Goals prevented -
12.6 Fouls committed 10.44
3.8 Goalkeeper saves 3.71
2.1 Offsides 1.43
18.25 Tackles per match 18.67

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

IF Elfsborg vs Sheriff Tiraspol prediction analysis

Review IF Elfsborg vs Sheriff Tiraspol with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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