Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Iğdır FK vs Bandırmaspor

Iğdır FK vs Bandırmaspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-11-03 14:00
Iğdır FK
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Bandırmaspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
27%
2
33%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Iğdır FK (Home)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate68%

Bandırmaspor (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Iğdır FK
DLDWL
Bandırmaspor
WDWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 68%
37% +1.5 26%
16% +2.5 11%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
68% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Iğdır FK averages 1.37 goals scored at home, while Bandırmaspor averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
27%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 4

Mar 2026 Iğdır FK(A) 0 - 0 Bandırmaspor Draw
Nov 2025 Iğdır FK 1 - 1 Bandırmaspor Draw
Apr 2025 Iğdır FK(A) 1 - 1 Bandırmaspor Draw
Dec 2024 Iğdır FK 0 - 1 Bandırmaspor Away

In the last 4 meetings, Iğdır FK won 0, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Iğdır FK — unbeaten run (home)2
Iğdır FK — scoring streak (home)2
Bandırmaspor — winless run (away)2
Bandırmaspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Iğdır FK Win (1)40%
Draw (X)27%
Bandırmaspor Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 68%
37% +1.5 26%
16% +2.5 11%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 32%
63% -1.5 74%
84% -2.5 89%
89% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Iğdır FK vs Bandırmaspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Iğdır FK — scored (home)1.37
Iğdır FK — conceded (home)1.32
Bandırmaspor — scored (away)1.05
Bandırmaspor — conceded (away)1.11
Model expected combined goals2.52

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Iğdır FK — BTTS matches (home)68%
Bandırmaspor — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Iğdır FK (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against3.4

Bandırmaspor (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Iğdır FK
5 5 11 9 7
Bandırmaspor
5 9 12 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Iğdır FK (home)

For2.6

Bandırmaspor (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Iğdır FK — total shots (home)12.6
Bandırmaspor — total shots (away)9.5

Shots on Target

Iğdır FK — on target (home)4.4
Bandırmaspor — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Iğdır FK

Inside the box7.47
Outside the box3.89

Bandırmaspor

Inside the box6.34
Outside the box4.18

Player Shots Iğdır FK

Ryan Mendes
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target17%
G. Bruno
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
F. Loshaj
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target15%
F. Koita
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Fofana
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target15%

Player Shots Bandırmaspor

D. Ndongala
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target11%
L. Bacuna
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target16%
Douglas Tanque
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target25%
K. Alıcı
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target5%
A. Badji
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Iğdır FK xG (home)1.75
Bandırmaspor xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

56.45% Possession 45.21%

Team Comparison Iğdır FK vs Bandırmaspor

81.32% Pass accuracy 77.71%
435.74 Passes per match 344.95
0 Goals prevented 0
12 Fouls committed 11.26
2.73 Goalkeeper saves 3.05
3.16 Offsides 1.92
13.63 Tackles per match 13.87

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Iğdır FK vs Bandırmaspor prediction analysis

Review Iğdır FK vs Bandırmaspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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