Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Iğdır FK vs Erzurumspor FK

Iğdır FK vs Erzurumspor FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
1. Lig 2025-11-23 10:30
Iğdır FK
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Erzurumspor FK
Away

Prediction Summary

1
27%
X
25%
2
48%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Iğdır FK (Home)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate68%

Erzurumspor FK (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Iğdır FK
DLDWL
Erzurumspor FK
DDDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 95%
37% +1.5 53%
16% +2.5 16%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
68% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Iğdır FK averages 1.37 goals scored at home, while Erzurumspor FK averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
27%
Draw
25%
Away Win
48%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2026 Iğdır FK(A) 1 - 2 Erzurumspor FK Away
Nov 2025 Iğdır FK 2 - 1 Erzurumspor FK Home
Feb 2025 Iğdır FK(A) 0 - 0 Erzurumspor FK Draw
Sep 2024 Iğdır FK 1 - 2 Erzurumspor FK Away

In the last 4 meetings, Iğdır FK won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Iğdır FK — unbeaten run (home)2
Iğdır FK — scoring streak (home)2
Erzurumspor FK — winless run (away)2
Erzurumspor FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Iğdır FK Win (1)27%
Draw (X)25%
Erzurumspor FK Win (2)48%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 95%
37% +1.5 53%
16% +2.5 16%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 5%
63% -1.5 47%
84% -2.5 84%
89% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Iğdır FK vs Erzurumspor FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Iğdır FK — scored (home)1.37
Iğdır FK — conceded (home)1.32
Erzurumspor FK — scored (away)1.63
Erzurumspor FK — conceded (away)0.79
Model expected combined goals2.69

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Iğdır FK — BTTS matches (home)68%
Erzurumspor FK — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)57.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Iğdır FK (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against3.4

Erzurumspor FK (away)

Corners for3.6
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Iğdır FK
5 5 11 9 7
Erzurumspor FK
4 8 7 9 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Iğdır FK (home)

For2.6

Erzurumspor FK (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Iğdır FK — total shots (home)12.6
Erzurumspor FK — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Iğdır FK — on target (home)4.4
Erzurumspor FK — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Iğdır FK

Inside the box7.47
Outside the box3.89

Erzurumspor FK

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box3.74

Player Shots Iğdır FK

Ryan Mendes
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target17%
G. Bruno
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
F. Loshaj
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target15%
F. Koita
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Fofana
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target15%

Player Shots Erzurumspor FK

E. Tozlu
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target35%
Burak Böyüksünnetci
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
A. Kabak
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%
M. Yumlu
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target6%
M. Fettahoğlu
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Iğdır FK xG (home)1.75
Erzurumspor FK xG (away)1.76

Average Possession

56.45% Possession 55.5%

Team Comparison Iğdır FK vs Erzurumspor FK

81.32% Pass accuracy 85.16%
435.74 Passes per match 469.89
0 Goals prevented 0
12 Fouls committed 10.71
2.73 Goalkeeper saves 2
3.16 Offsides 2.17
13.63 Tackles per match 13.39

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Iğdır FK vs Erzurumspor FK prediction analysis

Review Iğdır FK vs Erzurumspor FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top