Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Iğdır FK vs Fatih Karagümrük

Iğdır FK vs Fatih Karagümrük prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2026-08-09 16:00
Iğdır FK
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Fatih Karagümrük
Away

Prediction Summary

1
34%
X
27%
2
39%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Iğdır FK (Home)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate68%

Fatih Karagümrük (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Iğdır FK
DLDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 0%
37% +1.5 0%
16% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
68% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Iğdır FK averages 1.37 goals scored at home, while Fatih Karagümrük averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
34%
Draw
27%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 2

May 2025 Iğdır FK(A) 1 - 2 Fatih Karagümrük Away
Jan 2025 Iğdır FK 0 - 1 Fatih Karagümrük Away

In the last 2 meetings, Iğdır FK won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Iğdır FK — unbeaten run (home)2
Iğdır FK — scoring streak (home)2

1X2 Probability model

Iğdır FK Win (1)34%
Draw (X)27%
Fatih Karagümrük Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 0%
37% +1.5 0%
16% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 100%
63% -1.5 100%
84% -2.5 100%
89% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Iğdır FK vs Fatih Karagümrük — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Iğdır FK — scored (home)1.37
Iğdır FK — conceded (home)1.32
Fatih Karagümrük — scored (away)0
Fatih Karagümrük — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.55

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Iğdır FK — BTTS matches (home)68%
Fatih Karagümrük — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)34%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (model prediction)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Iğdır FK (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against3.4

Fatih Karagümrük (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Iğdır FK
5 5 11 9 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.548%
Under 0.552%
Over 1.545%
Under 1.555%
Over 2.545%
Under 2.555%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Iğdır FK (home)

For2.6

Fatih Karagümrük (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.560%
Under 19.540%
Over 22.546%
Under 22.554%
Over 25.533%
Under 25.567%
Expected total shots22.56

Iğdır FK

Shots Over 9.569%
Shots Over 11.553%
Shots Over 13.539%
Expected shots12.57
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.546%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.59

Fatih Karagümrük

Shots Over 9.550%
Shots Over 11.533%
Shots Over 13.521%
Expected shots9.99
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.533%
On Target Over 5.521%
Expected on target3.76

Shots per Game

Iğdır FK — total shots (home)12.6
Fatih Karagümrük — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Iğdır FK — on target (home)4.4
Fatih Karagümrük — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Iğdır FK

Inside the box7.47
Outside the box3.89

Fatih Karagümrük

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Iğdır FK

Ryan Mendes
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target17%
G. Bruno
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
F. Loshaj
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target15%
F. Koita
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Fofana
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target15%

Player Shots Fatih Karagümrük

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Iğdır FK xG (home)1.75
Fatih Karagümrük xG (away)-

Average Possession

56.45% Possession -%

Team Comparison Iğdır FK vs Fatih Karagümrük

81.32% Pass accuracy 0%
435.74 Passes per match -
0 Goals prevented -
12 Fouls committed -
2.73 Goalkeeper saves -
3.16 Offsides -
13.63 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Iğdır FK vs Fatih Karagümrük prediction analysis

Review Iğdır FK vs Fatih Karagümrük with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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