Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Iğdır FK vs Sivasspor

Iğdır FK vs Sivasspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
1. Lig 2025-12-20 10:30
Iğdır FK
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Sivasspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
23%
2
18%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Iğdır FK (Home)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate68%

Sivasspor (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.28
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Iğdır FK
DLDWL
Sivasspor
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 67%
37% +1.5 22%
16% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
68% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.

Iğdır FK averages 1.37 goals scored at home, while Sivasspor averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
23%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 Iğdır FK(A) 1 - 2 Sivasspor Away
Dec 2025 Iğdır FK 1 - 1 Sivasspor Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Iğdır FK won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Iğdır FK — unbeaten run (home)2
Iğdır FK — scoring streak (home)2
Sivasspor — winless run (away)2
Sivasspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Iğdır FK Win (1)58%
Draw (X)23%
Sivasspor Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 67%
37% +1.5 22%
16% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 33%
63% -1.5 78%
84% -2.5 100%
89% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Iğdır FK vs Sivasspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Iğdır FK — scored (home)1.37
Iğdır FK — conceded (home)1.32
Sivasspor — scored (away)0.89
Sivasspor — conceded (away)1.28
Model expected combined goals2.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

Iğdır FK — BTTS matches (home)68%
Sivasspor — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.581%
Under 5.519%
Over 6.578%
Under 6.522%
Over 7.573%
Under 7.527%
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.546%
Under 10.554%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Iğdır FK (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against3.4

Sivasspor (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Iğdır FK
5 5 11 9 7
Sivasspor
2 19 12 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.578%
Under 2.522%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Iğdır FK (home)

For2.6

Sivasspor (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Iğdır FK — total shots (home)12.6
Sivasspor — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Iğdır FK — on target (home)4.4
Sivasspor — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Iğdır FK

Inside the box7.47
Outside the box3.89

Sivasspor

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.86

Player Shots Iğdır FK

Ryan Mendes
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target17%
G. Bruno
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
F. Loshaj
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target15%
F. Koita
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Fofana
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target15%

Player Shots Sivasspor

Luan Campos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Manaj
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target43%
T. Böke
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target11%
V. Ethemi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target17%
K. Fidan
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Iğdır FK xG (home)1.75
Sivasspor xG (away)1.25

Average Possession

56.45% Possession 50.24%

Team Comparison Iğdır FK vs Sivasspor

81.32% Pass accuracy 79.59%
435.74 Passes per match 374.54
0 Goals prevented 0
12 Fouls committed 11.57
2.73 Goalkeeper saves 2.36
3.16 Offsides 2.68
13.63 Tackles per match 14.32

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Iğdır FK vs Sivasspor prediction analysis

Review Iğdır FK vs Sivasspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top