Prediction Analysis: Ilves vs Mariehamn
Ilves vs Mariehamn prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Veikkausliiga
2026-08-08
14:00
Ilves
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
76%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Mariehamn
Away
Prediction Summary
1
71%
X
15%
2
14%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Ilves (Home)
Goals scored / match2.28
Goals conceded / match1.39
Over 2.5 rate44%
BTTS rate78%
Mariehamn (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match3.33
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate67%
Team Form last 5 matches
Ilves
WLDWL
Mariehamn
DLLLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
94%
+0.5
67%
78%
+1.5
33%
44%
+2.5
0%
6%
+3.5
0%
6%
+4.5
0%
78%
BTTS
67%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 76%. Model confidence is High.
Ilves averages 2.28 goals scored at home, while Mariehamn averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
76%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
71%
Draw
15%
Away Win
14%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS Yes
65%
Head-to-Head last 5
Aug 2025
Ilves
2 - 1
Mariehamn
Home
Apr 2025
Ilves(A)
2 - 3
Mariehamn
Away
Aug 2024
Ilves
2 - 0
Mariehamn
Home
Apr 2024
Ilves(A)
1 - 0
Mariehamn
Home
Sep 2023
Ilves
2 - 1
Mariehamn
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Ilves won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Ilves — unbeaten run (home)4
Ilves — scoring streak (home)13
Mariehamn — winless run (away)3
Mariehamn — clean sheets (away, last 3)0 of 3
1X2 Probability model
Ilves Win (1)71%
Draw (X)15%
Mariehamn Win (2)14%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
94%
+0.5
67%
78%
+1.5
33%
44%
+2.5
0%
6%
+3.5
0%
6%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
6%
-0.5
33%
22%
-1.5
67%
56%
-2.5
100%
94%
-3.5
100%
94%
-4.5
100%
Ilves vs Mariehamn — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Ilves — scored (home)2.28
Ilves — conceded (home)1.39
Mariehamn — scored (away)1
Mariehamn — conceded (away)3.33
Model expected combined goals4
Both Teams To Score
Yes65%
No35%
Rate per Team
Ilves — BTTS matches (home)78%
Mariehamn — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)72.5%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
Ilves (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Mariehamn (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Mariehamn
16
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
Ilves (home)
For—
Mariehamn (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Ilves — total shots (home)—
Mariehamn — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Ilves — on target (home)—
Mariehamn — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Ilves
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Mariehamn
Inside the box14
Outside the box4
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
44%
Team Comparison Ilves vs Mariehamn
0%
Pass accuracy
73.09%
-
Passes per match
353
-
Fouls committed
8
-
Goalkeeper saves
5
-
Offsides
1
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Ilves vs Mariehamn prediction analysis
Review Ilves vs Mariehamn with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Veikkausliiga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Veikkausliiga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights