Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew

Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Major League Soccer 2026-08-01 23:30
Inter Miami
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
72%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Columbus Crew
Away

Prediction Summary

1
57%
X
20%
2
23%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS Yes
68%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Inter Miami (Home)

Goals scored / match2.82
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate68%
BTTS rate77%

Columbus Crew (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate74%

Team Form last 5 matches

Inter Miami
WWWWW
Columbus Crew
WLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

91% +0.5 79%
82% +1.5 37%
68% +2.5 11%
32% +3.5 11%
9% +4.5 5%
77% BTTS 74%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 72%. Model confidence is High.

Inter Miami averages 2.82 goals scored at home, while Columbus Crew averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
72%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
57%
Draw
20%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS Yes
68%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 Inter Miami 5 - 1 Columbus Crew Home
Apr 2025 Inter Miami(A) 1 - 0 Columbus Crew Home
Oct 2024 Inter Miami(A) 3 - 2 Columbus Crew Home
Jun 2024 Inter Miami 2 - 1 Columbus Crew Home
Jul 2023 Inter Miami 2 - 2 Columbus Crew Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Inter Miami won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Inter Miami — unbeaten run (home)7
Inter Miami — scoring streak (home)11
Columbus Crew — winless run (away)5
Columbus Crew — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Inter Miami Win (1)57%
Draw (X)20%
Columbus Crew Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

91% +0.5 79%
82% +1.5 37%
68% +2.5 11%
32% +3.5 11%
9% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

9% -0.5 21%
18% -1.5 63%
32% -2.5 89%
68% -3.5 89%
91% -4.5 95%

Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Inter Miami — scored (home)2.82
Inter Miami — conceded (home)1.41
Columbus Crew — scored (away)1.42
Columbus Crew — conceded (away)1.79
Model expected combined goals3.72

Both Teams To Score

Yes68%
No32%

Rate per Team

Inter Miami — BTTS matches (home)77%
Columbus Crew — BTTS matches (away)74%
Combined (simple average)75.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Inter Miami (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against3.8

Columbus Crew (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Inter Miami
6 7 2 12 10
Columbus Crew
6 11 13 3 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.583%
Under 1.517%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Inter Miami (home)

For2.9

Columbus Crew (away)

For1.6

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.575%
Under 19.525%
Over 22.560%
Under 22.540%
Over 25.545%
Under 25.555%
Expected total shots25.18

Inter Miami

Shots Over 9.579%
Shots Over 11.563%
Shots Over 13.547%
Expected shots13.58
On Target Over 3.577%
On Target Over 4.562%
On Target Over 5.546%
Expected on target5.48

Columbus Crew

Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.547%
Shots Over 13.531%
Expected shots11.60
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.543%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.35

Shots per Game

Inter Miami — total shots (home)14.5
Columbus Crew — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Inter Miami — on target (home)6.0
Columbus Crew — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Inter Miami

Inside the box8.55
Outside the box4.53

Columbus Crew

Inside the box9.05
Outside the box4.08

Player Shots Inter Miami

L. Messi
Shots on Target/Game2.4
+0.5 On Target97%
+1.5 On Target82%
T. Allende
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target32%
L. Suárez
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target36%
I. Fray
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target4%
M. Weigandt
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Columbus Crew

L. Lappalainen
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
D. Rossi
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target47%
D. Gazdag
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Russell-Rowe
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target24%
H. Picard
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Inter Miami xG (home)1.95
Columbus Crew xG (away)1.58

Average Possession

55.93% Possession 58.89%

Team Comparison Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew

86.88% Pass accuracy 87.54%
542.13 Passes per match 571.14
-0.28 Goals prevented 0.03
12.03 Fouls committed 10.11
3.18 Goalkeeper saves 2.62
1.64 Offsides 2.49
16.98 Tackles per match 14.74

League average xG this season is 1.48 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew prediction and preview

Preview Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Major League Soccer
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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