Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Inter vs Bologna

Inter vs Bologna prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-01-04 19:45
Inter
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Bologna
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
23%
2
24%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Inter (Home)

Goals scored / match2.63
Goals conceded / match0.84
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate53%

Bologna (Away)

Goals scored / match1.58
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Inter
DDWWD
Bologna
DWWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 84%
74% +1.5 53%
47% +2.5 21%
26% +3.5 0%
16% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Inter averages 2.63 goals scored at home, while Bologna averages 1.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
23%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Inter(A) 3 - 3 Bologna Draw
Jan 2026 Inter 3 - 1 Bologna Home
Apr 2025 Inter(A) 0 - 1 Bologna Away
Jan 2025 Inter 2 - 2 Bologna Draw
Mar 2024 Inter(A) 1 - 0 Bologna Home

In the last 5 meetings, Inter won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Inter — unbeaten run (home)12
Inter — scoring streak (home)12
Bologna — winless run (away)0
Bologna — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Inter Win (1)53%
Draw (X)23%
Bologna Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 84%
74% +1.5 53%
47% +2.5 21%
26% +3.5 0%
16% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 16%
26% -1.5 47%
53% -2.5 79%
74% -3.5 100%
84% -4.5 100%

Inter vs Bologna — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Inter — scored (home)2.63
Inter — conceded (home)0.84
Bologna — scored (away)1.58
Bologna — conceded (away)1.21
Model expected combined goals2.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Inter — BTTS matches (home)53%
Bologna — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Inter (home)

Corners for7.4
Corners against2.9

Bologna (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Inter
10 11 6 12 5
Bologna
14 9 8 7 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.569%
Under 2.531%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Inter (home)

For1.4

Bologna (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Inter — total shots (home)18.2
Bologna — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Inter — on target (home)6.8
Bologna — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Inter

Inside the box12.24
Outside the box4.87

Bologna

Inside the box8.08
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Inter

Lautaro Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target40%
M. Thuram
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target24%
H. Çalhanoğlu
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
F. Esposito
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target17%
F. Dimarco
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Bologna

R. Orsolini
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Rowe
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. Castro
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Odgaard
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
F. Bernardeschi
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Inter xG (home)1.9
Bologna xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

59.76% Possession 55.05%

Team Comparison Inter vs Bologna

87.37% Pass accuracy 82.39%
547.45 Passes per match 443.82
-0.25 Goals prevented 0.07
13.13 Fouls committed 13.16
2.03 Goalkeeper saves 2.42
1.65 Offsides 1.97
15.16 Tackles per match 14.24

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Inter vs Bologna prediction analysis

Review Inter vs Bologna with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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